B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$58.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ASO
Academy Sports and OutdoorsDNasdaq / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$46.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-09-03
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-21.2
Negative
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-21.2
Negative
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+55.1
Score
AI commentary
Company-specific forward evidence is limited ahead of the September 9 earnings event. Recent packet news is mostly adjacent retail coverage, social context is absent, and no analyst revision signal is available; therefore sentiment is best treated as cautiously positive but event-driven.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-03
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-09-09eventQ2 FY2026 earnings release and callMedium impact
Academy has scheduled Q2 FY2026 results before market open and an earnings call for September 9, 2026. As of September 3, no Q2 results, surprise, guidance change, or post-print reaction is confirmed; treat this as event risk rather than a completed earnings catalyst. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-26]
2026-12-02catalystConsumer spending, inflation, and inventory executionMedium impact
Management flagged ongoing inflationary pressure on consumer spending. Q1 merchandise inventory dollars increased 6.1% year over year while inventory units per store declined 6.8%, leaving continued margin and markdown execution risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-06-09]
2026-12-31catalystQ1 momentum and raised guidanceHigh impact
Q1 sales rose 6.7%, comparable sales increased 2.9%, eCommerce sales grew 17.4%, adjusted EPS increased 22.4%, and management raised the low end of full-year guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-06-09]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-09-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology