B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AS
Amer SportsANYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 results and guidance raise indicate broad operating momentum rather than a single-brand improvement. Continued Arc'teryx, Salomon, and Wilson execution plus the September investor day could support a rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.2.
What can break
A 390-basis-point Q2 margin benefit from net tariff refunds may not recur.
Momentum
15
Value
48
Sentiment
89
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $45.00 · Bear $23.00Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $49.79
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d -5.0
Value48 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment89 · Δ7d +4.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A 390-basis-point Q2 margin benefit from net tariff refunds may not recur.
- • Analyst revisions, options data, short interest, employee sentiment, and social coverage are unavailable; forward visibility is therefore limited.
- • The evidence base remains narrow despite the strong print.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-17
Investor Day
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-5.0
Δ21d
-13.6
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+2.7
Sentiment
89
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.2
Δ21d
-6.0
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 14.8 / Value 47.9 / Sentiment 89.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$18.83B
Beta
-
Shares Out
578.27M
P/E (TTM)
66.6
P/S (TTM)
3.37
P/FCF (TTM)
95.15
Rev YoY
+32.1%
EPS YoY
+461.7%
Gross Margin
+59.8%
Op Margin
+12.9%
Net Debt
$1.1B
Current Ratio
1.76
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data