ARX
AccelerantDNYSE / Insurance
Last Price
At close
2026-07-30
Current thesis
Primary-source evidence still supports a cautious positive view: FY2025 revenue rose to $912.9 million, full-year adjusted EBITDA reached $281.8 million, gross loss ratio improved to 51.3%, and management guided to continued 2026 growth while emphasizing rising third-party insurer participation [#8-K-2026-03-18]. If Q1 confirms those trends, ARX can continue to separate as a capital-light specialty insurance platform rather than a conventional carrier.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.0.
What can break
ARX remains low coverage with a still-loose public peer set, which can amplify volatility if upcoming filings do not clearly confirm the March operating narrative.
Momentum
7
Value
39
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.75 · Bull $18.50 · Bear $10.50
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-30
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-30 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-30
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-30
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $19.11
Why
Momentum7 · Δ7d -1.1
Value39 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +2.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
7
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-2.2
Value
39
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
73
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
-3.6
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 7.1 / Value 38.7 / Sentiment 73.1
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-29
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-29
Market Cap
$2.71B
Beta
-
Shares Out
218.2M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.7
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+82.6%
EPS YoY
-179.1%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
-$1.68B
Current Ratio
1.70
As of 2026-07-30 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology