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ARR

ARMOUR Residential REITB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
Q1 distributable earnings covered the common dividend, liquidity stayed above $1.1 billion, and the May update kept the $0.24 monthly dividend visible. If book value stabilizes around the $17.42 reported at 3/31 and leverage does not rise materially, ARR can continue to trade as a high-yield carry name with limited discount-to-book upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-21.
What can break
Book value remains volatile: Q1 book value per common share fell to $17.42 from $18.63, showing that MBS marks can still move equity value quickly.
Momentum
39
Value
73
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $16.70 · Bull $18.70 · Bear $14.20
Earnings
2026-07-21
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $18.38
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d -6.0
Value73 · Δ7d +9.9
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -0.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
39
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.0
Δ21d
-22.4
Value
73
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.9
Δ21d
+10.0
Sentiment
52
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
+1.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 38.6 / Value 73.5 / Sentiment 51.6

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$2.06B
Beta
1.44
Shares Out
124.05M
P/E (TTM)
386.2
P/S (TTM)
2.85
P/FCF (TTM)
30.73
Rev YoY
-84.8%
EPS YoY
-250.3%
Gross Margin
+95.8%
Op Margin
+9.1%
Net Debt
$17.65B
Current Ratio
1.11
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology