B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
+29.4% vs current
ARLP
Alliance Resource PartnersDNasdaq / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
+17.6% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
-21.6% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-01-13
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+27.1
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+27.1
Positive
Pulse
+35.0
Positive
Sentiment proxy
+62.4
Score
AI commentary
Market tone is cautiously constructive: company IR shows regular distributions and a Jan 2026 results release, while Street targets cluster well above the current anchor price, indicating upside in consensus but limited near-term certainty [#SERP-1], [#SERP-4]. Short-term sentiment may be muted pending the Feb. 11 distribution and any post-meeting governance news [#SERP-5].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-13
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-01-26eventAnnual meeting of unitholders (trustee election)Medium impact
Annual meeting and trustee election scheduled Jan. 26, 2026 per investor notice; potential governance news or trustee changes could move sentiment [#SERP-5].
2026-02-11eventQuarterly cash distribution payable (declared)Medium impact
Quarterly cash distribution of $0.35/unit declared; payable Feb. 11, 2026 (record Feb. 2, 2026) — largely confirmed by company IR release [#SERP-4].
2026-04-13catalystAnalyst consensus 12-month price-target revisionsHigh impact
Street 12-month consensus targets cluster near $29–33; any coordinated upgrades/downgrades over the next quarter could move the unit price (assumed date is conservative estimate for next formal revision window) [#SERP-1], [#SERP-2].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-01-13 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology