ARIS

Aris MiningB

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

The constructive read is that preliminary Q1 operating data already point to stronger revenue, higher cash, and continued H2-weighted production growth, while the April 17 Marmato milestone supports the Q4 2026 first-gold timeline.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.9.

What can break

Aris continues to lean on second-half 2026 weighting for production growth, so any delay at Marmato or softer Segovia ramp execution could pressure delivery against the 300,000-350,000 ounce 2026 production outlook.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $21.00 · Bull $27.80 · Bear $14.50

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $30.30

Why

Momentum25 · Δ7d +10.3

Value62 · Δ7d -0.2

Sentiment78 · Δ7d -2.9

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+10.3

Δ21d

+2.2

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.2

Δ21d

+0.4

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-2.9

Δ21d

+5.5

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 24.5 / Value 61.7 / Sentiment 78.0

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$3.03B

Beta

1.60

Shares Out

206.4M

P/E (TTM)

67.9

P/S (TTM)

4.30

P/FCF (TTM)

26.15

Rev YoY

+136.5%

EPS YoY

+3334.1%

Gross Margin

+50.4%

Op Margin

+36.0%

Net Debt

$133.64M

Current Ratio

1.78

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology