B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
APH
AmphenolANYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 beat, record orders, 1.23 book-to-bill, exceptional IT datacom growth, raised Q3 outlook, and improved CommScope contribution reinforce the positive AI-infrastructure and acquisition thesis [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
AI and IT datacom demand may prove cyclical or pulled forward.
Momentum
76
Value
52
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $198.12 · Bull $220.00 · Bear $145.00Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $100.41
Why
Momentum76 · Δ7d -0.7
Value52 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +17.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +17.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • AI and IT datacom demand may prove cyclical or pulled forward.
- • CEO open-market sales followed option exercises in May; this is a sentiment flag, not evidence of operating weakness [#SEC-FORM4-2026-05-05].
- • The thesis remains exposed to AI spending being pulled forward, acquisition-integration risk, and normalization after unusually strong growth.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-29
Q3 2026 guidance execution
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
76
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
+12.8
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
+1.7
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+17.8
Δ21d
+8.7
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 76.3 / Value 51.9 / Sentiment 75.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$198.12
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$210.68B
Beta
1.20
Shares Out
1.23B
P/E (TTM)
46.6
P/S (TTM)
8.16
P/FCF (TTM)
62.09
Rev YoY
+55.0%
EPS YoY
+60.0%
Gross Margin
+39.0%
Op Margin
+28.1%
Net Debt
$4.63B
Current Ratio
1.89
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data