APG

APi GroupC

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

The post-earnings bull case is straightforward: APi beat on EPS and revenue, raised full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance, kept free-cash-flow messaging constructive, and is still building out higher-quality recurring Safety Services. Early post-print sell-side reaction available through aggregators was favorable, with May 1, 2026 price-target increases from Citi to $53, Baird to $52, UBS to $56, and Truist to $55.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.6.

What can break

APG closed down 6.04% on April 30, 2026, the earnings day, which signals investors are still scrutinizing margin quality and acquisition complexity rather than paying solely for the headline beat/raise.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $50.00 · Bull $56.00 · Bear $40.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $52.30

Why

Momentum30 · Δ7d -1.9

Value54 · Δ7d +0.6

Sentiment74 · Δ7d +1.6

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

-1.9

Δ21d

+8.9

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.6

Δ21d

+0.3

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+1.6

Δ21d

+0.2

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 30.0 / Value 53.8 / Sentiment 74.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$17.09B

Beta

1.70

Shares Out

437.23M

P/E (TTM)

110.8

P/S (TTM)

2.27

P/FCF (TTM)

30.42

Rev YoY

+15.3%

EPS YoY

+57.7%

Gross Margin

+28.5%

Op Margin

+6.6%

Net Debt

$2.16B

Current Ratio

1.44

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology