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AOS

A O SmithD
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
View Chart
Current thesis
Q1 cash generation stayed strong at $118.9M of free cash flow even as sales softened, and management still guided to 2%-4% 2026 sales growth, $605M-$655M of operating cash flow, and $525M-$575M of free cash flow. Price increases, boiler growth, water-treatment expansion, and buybacks provide a path to earnings resilience [#10-Q-2026-04-30].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.7.
What can break
China is the biggest execution risk: third-party sales fell 17% in local currency in Q1, and management now expects a low-double-digit decline in 2026 while it continues a strategic assessment of the business [#10-Q-2026-04-30].
Momentum
11
Value
66
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $55.50 · Bull $80.00 · Bear $46.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $79.91
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d -1.7
Value66 · Δ7d +0.7
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -31.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
11
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
+1.2
Value
66
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
50
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-31.5
Δ21d
-22.5
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 11.2 / Value 65.9 / Sentiment 50.2

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$7.69B
Beta
1.35
Shares Out
139.24M
P/E (TTM)
18.5
P/S (TTM)
2.49
P/FCF (TTM)
25.29
Rev YoY
+4.4%
EPS YoY
+14.4%
Gross Margin
+38.5%
Op Margin
+18.3%
Net Debt
-$82.9M
Current Ratio
1.54
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology