RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

ANGX

Angel StudiosC
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Rapid Guild growth, recurring revenue expansion, improved marketing efficiency, positive quarterly operating cash flow, and a materially improved first-half adjusted EBITDA loss support a constructive view. Insider open-market purchases provide modest additional sentiment support, though they are not operating evidence.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -8.1.
What can break
Cash was $48.0 million at June 30 while the company remains loss-making, increasing sensitivity to execution and financing conditions. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Momentum
86
Value
43
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.80 · Bull $6.50 · Bear $2.80Analysis 2026-08-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.33
Why
Momentum86 · Δ7d +2.8
Value43 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -8.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -8.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Cash was $48.0 million at June 30 while the company remains loss-making, increasing sensitivity to execution and financing conditions. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • Continued net losses and negative adjusted EBITDA despite revenue growth.
  • The company remains unprofitable, gross-margin compression is material, adjusted EBITDA remained negative in Q2, and theatrical revenue is volatile.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-31

Q2 earnings validate Guild growth and cash flow

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
86
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.8
Δ21d
-3.7
Value
43
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.1
Δ21d
-18.6
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 85.7 / Value 43.5 / Sentiment 58.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-31. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$4.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$879.62M
Beta
0.09
Shares Out
186.76M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-4.3
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-11.27
Rev YoY
+27.5%
EPS YoY
+22.4%
Gross Margin
+57.9%
Op Margin
-30.1%
Net Debt
$56.43M
Current Ratio
0.65
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data