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ANGX

Angel StudiosC
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Guild membership doubled over roughly one year, while Q2 Guild marketing expense fell to 52.8% of Guild revenue from 71.6% a year earlier. Sustained acquisition efficiency and cash conversion could support a rerating.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.3.
What can break
Gross margin fell to about 54% in Q2 from 69% a year earlier, reflecting theatrical revenue mix; future release results may be uneven. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Momentum
10
Value
43
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.05 · Bull $5.25 · Bear $2.60Analysis 2026-10-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.50
Why
Momentum10 · Δ7d -10.7
Value43 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -3.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Gross margin fell to about 54% in Q2 from 69% a year earlier, reflecting theatrical revenue mix; future release results may be uneven. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • Guild membership growth alone does not establish retention, customer lifetime value or durable profitability.
  • • The Q2 gross-margin decline shows sensitivity to theatrical mix.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Next results test Guild growth against margins

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
10
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-10.7
Δ21d
-84.8
Value
43
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
68
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
-15.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 10.4 / Value 43.4 / Sentiment 68.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$4.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$2.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$651.78M
Beta
0.09
Shares Out
186.76M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-3.2
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-8.35
Rev YoY
+27.5%
EPS YoY
+22.4%
Gross Margin
+57.9%
Op Margin
-30.1%
Net Debt
$56.43M
Current Ratio
0.65
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data