B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AMTM
AmentumANYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-21
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.3
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+80.0
Score
AI commentary
Primary-source earnings evidence is mixed-positive: profitability, cash flow, backlog, and FY2026 EBITDA/EPS guidance improved, while revenue guidance and near-term growth visibility weakened. The packet does not provide verified post-print price reaction, analyst revisions, options data, short interest, or sufficient social coverage; confidence therefore remains moderate and monitoring-oriented.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-21
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-10eventQ3 profitability beat supports revised FY2026 outlookHigh impact
Q3 revenue was $3.49 billion, while adjusted EBITDA reached $290 million at an 8.3% margin, adjusted EPS was $0.67, and free cash flow was $135 million. Management raised FY2026 adjusted EBITDA and EPS guidance despite lowering the revenue outlook. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10] [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q3]
2026-11-19catalystRevenue conversion and procurement-delay riskMedium impact
Near-term revenue remains pressured by protest delays, lower materials volume, slower award conversion, and the expected NASA insourcing impact. The next reporting cycle should clarify whether stronger margins can offset weaker top-line momentum. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q3]
2027-08-21catalystBacklog conversion in strategic growth marketsHigh impact
Amentum reported $48.2 billion of backlog, 1.1x quarterly book-to-bill, and 1.3x trailing book-to-bill. Management continues to highlight national security, nuclear energy, space, and critical digital infrastructure as strategic growth areas, but execution and award conversion remain key conditions. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10] [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q3]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology