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AMRZ

AmrizeC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue rose 8.6%, supported by volumes and acquisitions, and management raised full-year revenue guidance. Better second-half price-cost performance and ASPIRE delivery could restore margin confidence.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
What can break
Building Envelope Q2 adjusted EBITDA declined 5.2% and segment margin fell 350 basis points year over year. Amrize earnings release
Momentum
21
Value
59
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $39.00 · Bull $47.00 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $48.39
Why
Momentum21 · Δ7d +0.3
Value59 · Δ7d -1.1
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -4.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Building Envelope Q2 adjusted EBITDA declined 5.2% and segment margin fell 350 basis points year over year. Amrize earnings release
  • • Building Envelope leadership transition adds execution risk while margin recovery remains unproven. [#8-K-2026-09-11] SEC filing
  • • Cost inflation has already compressed margins despite sales growth.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · AMC

Q3 results test the revised 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
21
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+7.2
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-1.6
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.5
Δ21d
-13.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 20.6 / Value 59.4 / Sentiment 55.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$47.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$39.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$21.57B
Beta
-
Shares Out
546.93M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
18.4
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
21.44
Rev YoY
+8.6%
EPS YoY
+14.5%
Gross Margin
+25.0%
Op Margin
+15.6%
Net Debt
$4.42B
Current Ratio
1.10
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data