AMR

Alpha Metallurgical ResourcesC

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Bull case assumes a sustained recovery in metallurgical coal realizations, leading to stronger EBITDA and continued shareholder returns (buybacks/special distributions), supporting a move toward the analyst high of 245.00 and above sector multiples.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.6.

What can break

Downward pressure on met-coal pricing from global oversupply

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $204.00 · Bull $245.00 · Bear $185.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $180.50

Why

Momentum7 · Δ7d -6.3

Value53 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment76 · Δ7d -2.6

So what

Balanced signals. Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-6.3

Δ21d

-40.9

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

+1.9

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-2.6

Δ21d

+16.0

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 7.4 / Value 53.4 / Sentiment 76.4

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$1.83B

Beta

0.78

Shares Out

12.71M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-30.3

P/S (TTM)

1.17

P/FCF (TTM)

63.41

Rev YoY

-1.3%

EPS YoY

-66.9%

Gross Margin

+1.5%

Op Margin

-1.3%

Net Debt

-$396.8M

Current Ratio

3.67

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology