B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AMPX
AmpriusBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record revenue growth, improving gross margin, a second consecutive outlook increase, new drone and e-mobility orders, and the Stark Future multi-year agreement support a constructive growth case [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -19.2.
What can break
Analyst revision data, options data, short interest, employee sentiment, and social coverage are unavailable in the packet.
Momentum
10
Value
34
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $11.00 · Bull $16.00 · Bear $6.00Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $23.70
Why
Momentum10 · Δ7d +5.2
Value34 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment84 · Δ7d -19.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -19.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst revision data, options data, short interest, employee sentiment, and social coverage are unavailable in the packet.
- • Contract timing, customer concentration, and manufacturing scale-up could delay conversion of orders into revenue.
- • The company remains loss-making, with Q2 adjusted EBITDA of negative $1.0 million and GAAP net loss of $5.1 million.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-04
Q2 record revenue and raised 2026 outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
10
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.2
Δ21d
+4.4
Value
34
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
84
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-19.2
Δ21d
-19.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 10.4 / Value 34.2 / Sentiment 83.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$11.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.69B
Beta
3.03
Shares Out
146.08M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-32.8
P/S (TTM)
20.58
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-26.77
Rev YoY
+125.9%
EPS YoY
-32.3%
Gross Margin
+22.3%
Op Margin
-17.0%
Net Debt
-$50.79M
Current Ratio
7.17
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data