B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$650.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AMD
Advanced Micro DevicesCNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 revenue and adjusted EPS exceeded the packet's preprint consensus context, while Q3 guidance implies further sequential growth. Data Center now drives the thesis, with EPYC, Instinct, and Helios providing multiple growth vectors.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
AMD's Q3 and second-half outlook depends on timely product availability, manufacturing yields, memory and component supply, and customer deployments [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Momentum
78
Value
49
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
4 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $575.00 · Bull $650.00 · Bear $420.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $628.22
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d +7.2
Value49 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +0.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • News driver: A flat week hid an oil shock, policy whiplash and narrow chip leadership.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • AMD's Q3 and second-half outlook depends on timely product availability, manufacturing yields, memory and component supply, and customer deployments [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
- • Competition from NVIDIA, Broadcom, and Intel could constrain AI accelerator, server CPU, pricing, or margin gains.
- • The market may demand continued upside beyond the strong Q2 beat.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-04
Q2 beat and Q3 outlook reset
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
78
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+7.2
Δ21d
+23.1
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+10.6
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 78.3 / Value 49.2 / Sentiment 64.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$575.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$420.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$826.03B
Beta
1.94
Shares Out
1.63B
P/E (TTM)
115.4
P/S (TTM)
11.24
P/FCF (TTM)
66.07
Rev YoY
+50.1%
EPS YoY
+158.8%
Gross Margin
+50.4%
Op Margin
+15.7%
Net Debt
-$6.56B
Current Ratio
2.61
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data