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AMBR

Amber InternationalC
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 provided tangible evidence of operating improvement: revenue growth, stronger mix, positive operating income, positive adjusted EBITDA, and initial A-MM monetization. Continued agentic revenue growth could support a re-rating from the sub-$1 anchor price.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Digital Assets Platform revenue remained below the prior-year level, while execution revenue declined sequentially amid lower trading volumes.
Momentum
89
Value
47
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.00 · Bull $1.45 · Bear $0.65Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.00
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d -
Value47 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment63 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Digital Assets Platform revenue remained below the prior-year level, while execution revenue declined sequentially amid lower trading volumes.
  • Financial guidance was withdrawn, leaving limited forward visibility.
  • The company withdrew guidance, has limited operating history for the new strategy, and remains exposed to weaker digital-asset activity.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-03

Q2 2026 revenue growth and return to profitability

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
89
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
47
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 88.7 / Value 46.7 / Sentiment 63.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$1.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$0.65
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$117.1M
Beta
0.67
Shares Out
86.44M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
8.9
P/S (TTM)
4.32
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
-30.8%
EPS YoY
-392.4%
Gross Margin
+71.7%
Op Margin
-2.3%
Net Debt
-$31.76M
Current Ratio
1.33
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data