ALSN
Allison TransmissionBNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-07-17
Current thesis
The bull read is that Q1 showed strong consolidated revenue, adjusted EPS growth, and enough cash generation to support debt paydown, dividend growth, and repurchases while management kept 2026 guidance intact.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-23.
What can break
Balance-sheet leverage remains elevated after the acquisition, with total debt of $4.292 billion and net debt of $3.981 billion at March 31, 2026 [#8-K-2026-05-04].
Momentum
45
Value
65
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $124.00 · Bull $140.00 · Bear $112.00
Earnings
2026-07-23
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-17 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-17
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-17
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $137.00
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d +10.0
Value65 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -6.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
45
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.0
Δ21d
+8.8
Value
65
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
55
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.7
Δ21d
+7.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 44.7 / Value 64.6 / Sentiment 55.0
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$9.42B
Beta
0.97
Shares Out
82.94M
P/E (TTM)
12.0
P/S (TTM)
2.66
P/FCF (TTM)
15.16
Rev YoY
+83.6%
EPS YoY
-40.3%
Gross Margin
+40.1%
Op Margin
+30.8%
Net Debt
$1.41B
Current Ratio
1.85
As of 2026-07-17 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

