B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
-15.9% vs current
ALRS
Alerus FinancialCNasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$25.00
-22.1% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
-31.5% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-01-29
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+25.5
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+26.7
Positive
Pulse
-30.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+23.9
Score
AI commentary
Aggregator and wire coverage is muted: median targets cluster near $25 with a narrow high/low range, indicating low conviction. Market tone is watchful—positive on fee-growth potential but cautious on credit and funding execution.
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-29
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-04-29catalystQ1 2026 results and guidanceMedium impact
Upcoming quarter will clarify net interest margin and credit provisioning; small beats or conservative guidance could move the stock >5%.
2026-06-30eventConsensus target refreshMedium impact
Aggregator updates to 12-month targets could reset sentiment; consensus currently clusters near $25 and any meaningful revision may change market tone.
2027-01-29catalystSustained NIM and loan growthHigh impact
Durable margin expansion and loan growth would support above-consensus EPS and re-rating toward regional peers over 12+ months.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-01-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology