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ALH

Alliance LaundryA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Revenue growth, double-digit adjusted EBITDA expansion, wider gross margin, raised FY2026 guidance, and rapid deleveraging support a positive medium-term view [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13]. Replacement-driven demand and pricing that has offset tariffs could make earnings more resilient than a typical cyclical-equipment business.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.1.
What can break
Failure to deliver the raised 8%-10% FY2026 adjusted EBITDA growth outlook could unwind the post-earnings thesis.
Momentum
23
Value
58
Sentiment
87
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $25.50 · Bull $32.25 · Bear $16.50Analysis 2026-09-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $32.25
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d +11.2
Value58 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment87 · Δ7d +3.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Failure to deliver the raised 8%-10% FY2026 adjusted EBITDA growth outlook could unwind the post-earnings thesis.
  • • Flat International Segment results indicate that growth was not geographically uniform despite Asia-Pacific strength.
  • • International results were flat, pricing produced more than half of Q2 revenue growth, and legal and incremental public-company costs partially offset operating gains.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-13

Q2 operating momentum

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
23
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.2
Δ21d
-18.8
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+3.3
Sentiment
87
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.1
Δ21d
-4.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 22.6 / Value 58.1 / Sentiment 87.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$32.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$25.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.93B
Beta
-
Shares Out
198.77M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
48.1
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+9.6%
EPS YoY
+221.1%
Gross Margin
+36.5%
Op Margin
+19.2%
Net Debt
$1.85B
Current Ratio
1.43
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data