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ALH

Alliance LaundryB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Replacement-driven demand, North American growth, pricing and cost reductions could deliver the raised 2026 EBITDA outlook while debt repayment reduces interest expense. Q2 North America revenue grew 9% and adjusted EBITDA grew 17% (company release).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.
What can break
A 10% owner reported a 25.9 million-share sale in August, creating potential shareholder-supply concerns; it is not evidence of weaker operating results [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-24].
Momentum
37
Value
58
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $24.00 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $17.00Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $31.13
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d -13.3
Value58 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment65 · Δ7d +0.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A 10% owner reported a 25.9 million-share sale in August, creating potential shareholder-supply concerns; it is not evidence of weaker operating results [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-24].
  • • International Q2 adjusted EBITDA declined 8% despite approximately flat revenue; geographic mix and investment may continue to weigh on margins.
  • • International revenue was approximately flat and its adjusted EBITDA fell 8% in Q2.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-13

Q2 results and raised EBITDA outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
37
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.3
Δ21d
-2.1
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
65
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
-8.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 37.2 / Value 57.6 / Sentiment 65.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$4.2B
Beta
-
Shares Out
198.79M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
41.1
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+9.6%
EPS YoY
+221.1%
Gross Margin
+36.5%
Op Margin
+19.2%
Net Debt
$1.85B
Current Ratio
1.43
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data