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AKAM

AkamaiD
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Anthropic commitment and Q2 CIS revenue growth of 39% year over year strengthen the case that Akamai can expand beyond Delivery. Akamai also reported 10% Q2 Security growth.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.
What can break
A warrant tied to the Anthropic relationship represents up to approximately 5% of Akamai common shares on an as-converted basis, subject to vesting conditions. Akamai SEC exhibit
Momentum
10
Value
59
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $92.00 · Bull $115.00 · Bear $65.00Analysis 2026-10-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $157.35
Why
Momentum10 · Δ7d -6.6
Value59 · Δ7d -0.8
Sentiment47 · Δ7d -26.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A warrant tied to the Anthropic relationship represents up to approximately 5% of Akamai common shares on an as-converted basis, subject to vesting conditions. Akamai SEC exhibit
  • • Delivery revenue contraction and lower Q2 operating margins may offset CIS and Security growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Q2 Delivery and other cloud applications revenue fell 6% year over year, while GAAP operating margin fell eight percentage points to 7%.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-05

November 5 results test growth, margins and capital spending

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
10
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-6.6
Δ21d
-29.1
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
47
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-26.7
Δ21d
-23.9
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 10.4 / Value 58.6 / Sentiment 46.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$115.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$92.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$65.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$13.44B
Beta
0.70
Shares Out
143.72M
P/E (TTM)
25.2
P/S (TTM)
2.99
P/FCF (TTM)
22.05
Rev YoY
+5.4%
EPS YoY
-27.6%
Gross Margin
+53.4%
Op Margin
+11.9%
Net Debt
$4.49B
Current Ratio
1.61
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data