B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$280.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
AIZ
AssurantDNYSE / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$216.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2025-09-29
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+26.6
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+26.6
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+38.9
Score
AI commentary
Market tone is cautiously constructive: the stock trades near the middle of its recent range with dividend support and analyst consensus skewing positive [#yfinance-quote]. Near-term headlines focus on quarterly results and reserve commentary while longer-term discussion centers on capital returns and margin resiliency [#8-K-2025-02-14], [#10-K-2025-01-29].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2025-09-29
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
-catalystReserve / loss-development surpriseHigh impact
Adverse reserve strengthening or higher-than-expected large-loss frequency in housing/device protection could compress earnings and book value [#10-Q-2024-11-07].
-catalystAnnual 10-K disclosures / capital allocation clarityHigh impact
FY2024 10-K outlines capital-return priorities, reserve policy and medium-term strategy that inform valuation and dividend outlook [#10-K-2025-01-29].
2025-10-21eventQ3 2025 earnings / 8-K results releaseMedium impact
Quarterly results and reserve commentary (revenue, combined ratio, reserve development) are primary short-term drivers; a positive underwriting or reserve update would lift shares while adverse reserve development would pressure them [#8-K-2025-02-14], [#10-Q-2024-11-07].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2025-09-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology