B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AI
C3.aiBNYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q1 print supports a cautious turnaround thesis: revenue was described as on plan, free cash flow turned positive, bookings increased 73% quarter over quarter, cash increased to $651.1 million, and operating losses narrowed. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.1.
What can break
Analyst reaction remains mixed: DA Davidson maintained an Underperform rating and $7 target despite the reported quarterly beat.
Momentum
53
Value
35
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $11.50 · Bull $15.00 · Bear $7.50Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.82
Why
Momentum53 · Δ7d +7.9
Value35 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d +11.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst reaction remains mixed: DA Davidson maintained an Underperform rating and $7 target despite the reported quarterly beat.
- • Bookings and customer agreements may not convert into revenue or cash flow at the expected pace.
- • The improvement remains early and loss-making.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-02
Q1 FY2027 stabilization and positive free cash flow
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
53
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.9
Δ21d
-5.4
Value
35
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.1
Δ21d
+0.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 53.0 / Value 35.1 / Sentiment 75.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.51B
Beta
1.97
Shares Out
155.45M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.9
P/S (TTM)
5.54
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-7.12
Rev YoY
-52.5%
EPS YoY
+32.1%
Gross Margin
+30.9%
Op Margin
-194.9%
Net Debt
-$516.77M
Current Ratio
6.60
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data