B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
AI
C3.aiDNYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q1 print supports a cautious turnaround thesis: revenue was described as on plan, free cash flow turned positive, bookings increased 73% quarter over quarter, cash increased to $651.1 million, and operating losses narrowed. [#SEC-8K-2026-09-02]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Analyst reaction remains mixed: DA Davidson maintained an Underperform rating and $7 target despite the reported quarterly beat.
Momentum
84
Value
35
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $11.50 · Bull $15.00 · Bear $7.50Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $8.90
Why
Momentum84 · Δ7d -2.6
Value35 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment46 · Δ7d -8.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -8.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst reaction remains mixed: DA Davidson maintained an Underperform rating and $7 target despite the reported quarterly beat.
- • Bookings and customer agreements may not convert into revenue or cash flow at the expected pace.
- • The improvement remains early and loss-making.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-02
Q1 FY2027 stabilization and positive free cash flow
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
84
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.6
Δ21d
+6.9
Value
35
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
46
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.8
Δ21d
-22.4
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 84.0 / Value 35.0 / Sentiment 46.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2B
Beta
1.97
Shares Out
160.78M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-3.7
P/S (TTM)
5.54
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-9.15
Rev YoY
-52.5%
EPS YoY
+32.1%
Gross Margin
+30.9%
Op Margin
-194.9%
Net Debt
-$516.77M
Current Ratio
6.60
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data