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AGYS

AgilysysC
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The record Q1, 18th consecutive record-revenue quarter, stronger recurring mix, raised subscription outlook, and record backlog support continued execution [#SEC-8K-2026-07-27].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26 · AMC.
What can break
AI feature adoption and backlog conversion may not translate into durable growth or margin expansion.
Momentum
67
Value
50
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $115.00 · Bull $140.00 · Bear $88.00Analysis 2026-08-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-26 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $134.50
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d +40.2
Value50 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -10.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI feature adoption and backlog conversion may not translate into durable growth or margin expansion.
  • • Current analyst estimate revisions, rating changes, and target changes are unavailable.
  • • The stronger outlook increases the bar for future subscription growth and AI adoption; a slowdown, margin disappointment, or execution issue could reverse the favorable post-earnings narrative.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-26 · AMC

Record Q1 and raised FY2027 outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
67
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+40.2
Δ21d
+57.5
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.1
Δ21d
-31.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 66.8 / Value 49.6 / Sentiment 49.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$115.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.4B
Beta
0.41
Shares Out
28.21M
P/E (TTM)
135.3
P/S (TTM)
10.88
P/FCF (TTM)
58.03
Rev YoY
+14.3%
EPS YoY
+83.0%
Gross Margin
+60.2%
Op Margin
+12.0%
Net Debt
-$97.85M
Current Ratio
1.74
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data