AGNC
AGNC InvestmentBNasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
NAV stabilizes as prepayments slow and funding costs ease; dividend coverage improves and the stock re-rates toward higher-yielding mREIT peers, enabling upside to ~+10–15% above the current anchor if realized.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-20 · AMC.
What can break
Agency MBS spread widening and NAV impairment
Momentum
63
Value
62
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.45 · Bull $12.73 · Bear $9.83
Earnings
2026-07-20 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-16 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $11.50
Why
Momentum63 · Δ7d +4.6
Value62 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -3.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
63
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.6
Δ21d
+8.8
Value
62
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
50
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.9
Δ21d
-4.5
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 62.7 / Value 62.0 / Sentiment 50.1
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-16
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-16
Market Cap
$13.12B
Beta
1.35
Shares Out
1.15B
P/E (TTM)
16.7
P/S (TTM)
3.12
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-14.46
Rev YoY
-468.6%
EPS YoY
-1149.1%
Gross Margin
+100.0%
Op Margin
+22.0%
Net Debt
$100.05B
Current Ratio
0.19
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology