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AGBK

AGIC
NYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Second-quarter revenue rose 26% year over year to R$3.2 billion, while net income reached R$200.3 million and the capital adequacy ratio was 18.7%. Agi+ and diversified funding could support further growth if their economics hold.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.4.
What can break
Agi+ contribution margin is a company expectation, not demonstrated sustained profitability. [#IR-2026-08-05] https://investors.agiinc.com/press_releases/agi-inc-reports-second-quarter-2026-results/
Momentum
30
Value
63
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.00 · Bull $7.50 · Bear $2.50Analysis 2026-10-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-30 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-30 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-30

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-30. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $11.15
Why
Momentum30 · Δ7d -65.5
Value63 · Δ7d +0.4
Sentiment50 · Δ7d +8.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Agi+ contribution margin is a company expectation, not demonstrated sustained profitability. [#IR-2026-08-05] https://investors.agiinc.com/press_releases/agi-inc-reports-second-quarter-2026-results/
  • • Analyst target coverage and post-selloff revisions are unavailable in the packet.
  • • The October 26 close fell 37.6% from October 23, and the cause is not verified here.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-11

Third-quarter results on November 11

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
30
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-65.5
Δ21d
+4.2
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.4
Δ21d
-23.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 30.0 / Value 63.0 / Sentiment 49.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$5.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$2.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-30
Market Cap
$823.64M
Beta
-
Shares Out
159.93M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
6.4
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
-
EPS YoY
-
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
$102.7M
Current Ratio
0.24
As of 2026-10-30 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data