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AESI

Atlas Energy SolutionsD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
View Chart
Current thesis
The best post-print read is that the earnings miss/reset was already telegraphed by the earlier guidance cut, while the new Q2 EBITDA target near $50M, effectively sold-out Q2 volumes, and visible power-contract momentum can shift focus back to 2H26 recovery and the higher-value power narrative [#8-K-2026-05-04].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.6.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 11% in Q1 2026 from 15% in Q4 2025 and 25% in Q1 2025, showing how quickly profitability can compress when costs rise or mix weakens [#8-K-2026-05-04].
Momentum
24
Value
43
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.50 · Bull $20.00 · Bear $11.60
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $20.50
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d -21.6
Value43 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -1.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
24
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-21.6
Δ21d
-22.2
Value
43
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+1.3
Sentiment
59
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.6
Δ21d
+16.6
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 23.9 / Value 43.0 / Sentiment 58.6

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$1.76B
Beta
-
Shares Out
124.91M
P/E (TTM)
95.1
P/S (TTM)
1.09
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-40.41
Rev YoY
-10.8%
EPS YoY
-3817.6%
Gross Margin
+6.7%
Op Margin
+3.1%
Net Debt
$581.17M
Current Ratio
1.17
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology