AESI
Atlas Energy SolutionsDNYSE / Energy
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The best post-print read is that the earnings miss/reset was already telegraphed by the earlier guidance cut, while the new Q2 EBITDA target near $50M, effectively sold-out Q2 volumes, and visible power-contract momentum can shift focus back to 2H26 recovery and the higher-value power narrative [#8-K-2026-05-04].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 11% in Q1 2026 from 15% in Q4 2025 and 25% in Q1 2025, showing how quickly profitability can compress when costs rise or mix weakens [#8-K-2026-05-04].
Momentum
25
Value
43
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $15.50 · Bull $20.00 · Bear $11.60
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $20.50
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d -16.5
Value43 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -1.3
So what
Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-16.5
Δ21d
-37.2
Value
43
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
58
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
+16.6
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 25.3 / Value 43.1 / Sentiment 58.4
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$1.76B
Beta
-
Shares Out
124.91M
P/E (TTM)
95.1
P/S (TTM)
1.09
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-40.41
Rev YoY
-10.8%
EPS YoY
-3817.6%
Gross Margin
+6.7%
Op Margin
+3.1%
Net Debt
$581.17M
Current Ratio
1.17
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology