AEP

Image source: The Motley Fool. Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 9:00 a.m. ET Vice President of Investor Relations - Andy Gurgol Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer - Bill Fehrman Chief Financial Officer - Trevor Mihalik Senior Vice President, Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer - Kate Dixon Vice President, Investor Relations - Darcy Reese Operator: Hello, and thank you for standing by. My name is Lacey, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the American Electric Power second quarter 2026 earnings call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star one again. Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Andy Gurgol, Vice President of Investor Relations. You may go ahead. Andy Gurgol: Good morning, and welcome to American Electric Power's second quarter 2026 earnings call. A live webcast of this teleconference and slide presentation are available on our website under the Events and Presentation section. Joining me today are Bill Fehrman, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and Trevor Mihalik, Chief Financial Officer. In addition, we have other members of our management team in the room, including Kate Dixon, Senior Vice President, Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer, and Darcy Reese, Vice President, Investor Relations. We will be making forward-looking statements during the call. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in any forward-looking statement we make today. Factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially are discussed in the company's most recent SEC filings. Please refer to the presentation slides that accompany this call for reconciliation to GAAP measures. We will take your questions following opening remarks. Please start on slides four and five as I hand the call over to Bill. Bill Fehrman: Good morning, and thank you for joining us for our second quarter 2026 earnings call. As we close out the first half of 2026, in my first two years at AEP, I am very pleased with the progress we have made and the positive momentum we continue to build across the business. Four main themes are key to this progress, as shown on slide seven: enhancing our financial performance, driving affordability, capturing significant growth across our portfolio, and improving regulatory and operational outcomes. We are executing exceptionally well across each of these areas, strengthening our platform for outsized growth and long-term shareholder value creation. Turning to slide eight, I will start with our focus on enhancing AEP's financial performance. We delivered operating earnings of $1.36 per share or $742 million for the second quarter. I recognize our operating earnings are below last year at this stage due to the 2025 transmission minority interest sell and timing-related tax items, I am highly confident in our business performance. Much so that we are raising our 2026 full year guidance to a range of $6.25-$6.55 per share from our previous range of $6.15-$6.45 per share. I also remain committed to supporting strong investment-grade credit metrics, including our targeted FFO to debt ratio of 14%-15% as we move through this incredible period of growth that's expected to last well into the next decade. Trevor will go into more detail around the financial performance later on in the call. AEP's size, scale, and attractive geographic footprint continue to provide differential advantages as we drive affordability, all while executing on our robust growth strategy. As one of the largest utility holding companies in the country, we benefit from economies of scale that enhance our ability to procure, build, operate, and finance infrastructure in a highly efficient way. Combined with the tremendous strides we have made improving regulatory outcomes and cost recovery mechanisms, these advantages help us deliver safe, reliable, and affordable energy service for customers while generating increasing value for our shareholders. Over the past two years, we have seen significant customer demand across our footprint, and AEP's focus on execution positions us to be one of the best to capture that growth. Just during the second quarter, AEP contracted an additional six gigawatts of load, primarily driven by fully executed LOAs in Texas. Trevor will also provide more details on our incremental large load pipeline later on in the call. To be clear, our future is extremely bright as it pertains to growth, exceptional counterparties, and incredibly supportive strategic partnerships that will allow us to deliver for our customers and our shareholders. As shared on our first quarter call, AEP's five-year capital plan from 2026 through 2030 is $78 billion, which is expected to result in nearly 11% rate base CAGR. To put this growth into perspective, AEP's five-year capital plan stood at just $38 billion only four years ago. This significant step change underscores the strength of our portfolio and differentiated organic growth seen across our expansive footprint. In summary, we intend to deliver, and our customers know it. That is why we have such a significant backlog of growth, which creates long-term upside for AEP over the next decade. We also shared on the first quarter call that we have line of sight to over $10 billion of incremental investments that are not included in the $78 billion, consisting of the fuel cells for the Wyoming project, the Piketon transmission opportunity, and incremental power generation. We continue to work with the hyperscaler on the Wyoming fuel cell initiative and remain highly optimistic about the project's advancement. Based on a contractual June 30 deadline, we reached an amendment to the agreement with the offtaker, which modified some key protection terms so that AEP is adequately compensated for their requested timing accommodations. Under the original December 2026 milestone, which remains intact, the hyperscaler has the ability to choose to deploy the fuel cells at an alternate location if the Cheyenne Wyoming site does not advance. If the December 2026 milestone is not met, or if there are additional requests to change the agreement terms, AEP retains financial protections for our shareholders. Separately, we continue to advance the Piketon transmission opportunity in Ohio and are working towards definitive agreements with the prospective offtaker, SP Energy. Following execution of definitive agreements, the projects would proceed through the required regulatory review and approval process. This project further highlights the strength of AEP's transmission franchise, and in particular, our industry-leading expertise in developing and operating 765 kV transmission infrastructure. As we have discussed previously, AEP has taken a very proactive approach over the past two years to secure critical gas-fired turbine generators, leveraging our scale as one of the nation's largest owner-operators of electric generation, industry expertise, and long-standing supplier relationships. Just over this past quarter, we have secured an additional three gigawatts of turbines. This increases our total secured turbine capacity to approximately 13 gigawatts for deployment through 2031. These strategic procurements position us to meet the growing energy needs of our customers while providing greater certainty around future resource deployment in AEP's footprint. When we introduce a new five-year plan for 2027 through 2031 during our third quarter earnings call, these generation investments are expected to be an important driver of our long-term growth outlook. In addition, we are leveraging our sizable market position and strategic manufacturer relationships to secure up to 10 gigawatts of incremental turbine capacity through 2035. This level of access to critical equipment underscores a key competitive advantage for AEP and enhances our ability to support customer growth, strengthen reliability, and create long-term value for shareholders. Regarding nuclear, we continue to advance an early-stage nuclear generation strategy. This is being driven by demand from potential customers who value alternative forms of long-term baseload generation to support their rapidly growing demand. While we want to be proactive and work with customers to jointly develop their projects on a fee-based arrangement that limits risk for AEP, we will remain highly disciplined to ensure that we are protecting our existing customers, shareholders, and balance sheet. Please turn to slide nine. Affordability remains a core tenet of our customer strategy. As new large load comes online, it enables a shift of fixed costs currently borne by existing customers to new data centers and hyperscalers. As we noted on our first quarter call in May, we are projecting fixed cost offsets for residential customers of up to $16 billion in our vertically integrated utilities as a result of new large load interconnections that are supported by fully executed take-or-pay electric service agreements. The benefits of this changing customer mix are already being realized. Together with our disciplined focus on operational efficiency, these offsets have supported planned base rate reductions in select AEP operating companies. For example, an order has been received in Ohio, and Indiana Michigan Power plans to submit a base rate reduction filing later this summer, reinforcing our commitment to delivering safe, reliable, and affordable service while supporting economic growth. We are also continuing to access sources of lower-cost capital, including federal grants and U.S. Department of Energy loan guarantees to further drive customer savings. Earlier this month, AEP Texas secured a DOE loan guarantee for up to $3.3 billion to finance a portfolio of transmission projects spanning approximately 2,800 miles, which is expected to deliver an estimated $685 million in customer savings over the life of the loan through lower financing costs. With this financing, AEP has now secured approximately $5 billion in DOE loans across our portfolio, supporting an expected $1 billion in projected customer savings. This, combined with almost $400 million in awarded DOE grants, are expected to deliver nearly $1.4 billion in estimated customer benefits over the life of the loans and grants. Turning to slide 10. We continue to obtain constructive regulatory outcomes across our portfolio with notable progress achieved this past quarter, which should improve cost recovery and our earned ROEs over time. In Ohio, we secured commission approval of the distribution base case settlement, which includes an affordability measure featuring a base rate decrease driven by the timing of regulatory liabilities being passed back to customers. AEP Ohio also secured a 9.84% ROE, up from 9.7%. This, coupled with the forward-looking tester in the next rate case, will improve cost recovery and their earned ROE. In Texas, Southwestern Electric Power Company reached a base rate case settlement in principle with key stakeholders in late April, which positions us well to advance our growth plans and enhance safe, reliable, and affordable electric service for customers. In Oklahoma, Public Service Company of Oklahoma filed a base rate case settlement with several key interveners. While the proposed authorized ROE decreases slightly from 9.5% to 9.375%, the settlement includes an enhanced transmission cost rider, which we expect to result in a meaningful improvement in Public Service Company of Oklahoma's earned ROE. Public Service Company of Oklahoma also received a separate order in May approving its request to procure 1.3 gigawatts of generation resources, supporting reliable and affordable service for our customers. Taken together, these outcomes support continued investment in Oklahoma while keeping customer affordability front and center. In Virginia, we completed a $1.4 billion securitization in May, enabling Appalachian Power to file its lowest increase in a base rate request in nearly 30 years, driving further customer affordability measures. Additionally, in June, we received approval in Virginia for our proposed large load tariff, bringing the total number of approved tariffs across the portfolio to five. We have three additional filings pending for proposed large load tariffs, and our teams are working closely with key stakeholders to advance them through the approval process. Collectively, the constructive regulatory outcomes we have achieved this quarter and over the last couple of years reflect a more focused engagement strategy across our footprint by listening to what our customers, regulators, and states want. That approach is helping us achieve balanced outcomes that create value for our shareholders and certainly for our customers. In summary, AEP is entering the second half of the year with extremely strong momentum, building on the significant progress we have achieved since I joined two years ago. We are serving growing customer demand, investing in critical infrastructure, keeping affordability central to our approach, and maintaining the financial discipline needed to create long-term value for our customers and shareholders. Let me be very clear. AEP now has significant management and leadership depth. Our board is highly supportive and with our new board additions, growing in their expertise that is directly tied to our long-term strategic plan. This team is second to none and well-suited to deliver this impressive plan that will drive significant long-term value for investors. Our future is all about growth well into the next decade. That is what is expected of me, and that is what I intend to deliver with this team. I will now turn the call over to Trevor, who will review our second quarter performance drivers and additional financial and business updates. Trevor Mihalik: Thanks, Bill. I will begin with our financial results and then turn to load growth, the capital plan, and our financing strategy before I conclude with some final thoughts. Starting on Slide 12 of the presentation, as Bill mentioned, for the second quarter of 2026, AEP delivered operating earnings of $1.36 per share compared to $1.43 per share in the second quarter of 2025. At a high level, our second quarter results were primarily impacted by several timing-related items, most notably Transmission Holdco performance and income taxes. Transmission Holdco earnings reflect the impact of the 2025 minority interest sale, which closed in June of last year. While this timing affected year-over-year comparability in the second quarter, we expect Transmission Holdco earnings to provide a favorable year-over-year contribution by the end of 2026, driven by the continued investment in infrastructure. The corporate and other segment includes some income tax timing items related to the consolidated impacts of the effective tax rate, which are expected to reverse by the end of the year. The same transmission sale and timing-related tax items are reflected in our year-to-date performance on Slide 13. Year-to-date operating earnings were $3.01 per share compared to $2.98 per share during the same period last year. Overall, our underlying results continue to demonstrate the strength of the business. Earnings benefited from constructive regulatory outcomes, higher normalized sales, and growth in transmission revenues. These drivers were partially offset by prior year's favorable weather and this year's increased O&M spend to enhance system reliability as we continue to execute on our commitment to provide safe and reliable service to our customers. As Bill discussed, we continue to make material progress across a number of regulatory proceedings throughout our footprint. Our regulated earned ROE for the quarter was 9.2%, consistent with our forecasted expectations for the year-end 2026. Through continued execution of our regulatory strategy centered on customer affordability, along with structural rate-making improvements such as the UTM in Texas, SB 998 in Oklahoma, and a forward-looking test year in Ohio starting in 2028, we believe there is a strong path for regulated earned ROE to improve to 9.5% by 2030. The progress we are seeing across our regulatory initiatives, continued growth across our footprint, and strong execution year-to-date have increased our confidence in delivering strong 2026 financial performance. As a result, we raised our 2026 operating earnings guidance range to $6.25-$6.55 per share. We're also reaffirming our annual operating earnings growth rate of 7%-9% and continue to expect an operating EPS CAGR of greater than 9% through 2030 based off of our 2025 guidance midpoint and supported by the $78 billion capital plan. Turning to Slide 14. One of the most important drivers of our sustained long-term growth outlook continues to be large load demand. We now have 69 gigawatts of contracted load additions through 2030, up six gigawatts from the 63 disclosed last quarter, all supported by a combination of fully executed ESAs and LOAs. This represents another meaningful increase in customer commitments and further reinforces our confidence in the strength and durability of demand across our diverse, high-growth service territory. From a geographic perspective, Texas continues to represent our largest opportunity with 45 gigawatts of contracted load through 2030. Ohio accounts for 12 gigawatts, followed by Oklahoma, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, and Virginia, which combined make up the remaining 12 gigawatts. While the scale of this opportunity is significant, it is equally important to highlight the protections embedded within our growth strategy. Our large load tariffs require customers to make long-term commitments and support the investments necessary to serve their demand. That structure helps ensure that this growth drives value creation for shareholders, while also supporting affordability for existing customers by bringing new load onto the system and expanding the base over which costs can be shared. These tariff frameworks also provide strong protections against project delays and changing development timelines, giving us confidence that we can capture this growth while appropriately managing potential risk. The quality of the customer base is another important differentiator for AEP. The vast majority of these projects are being advanced by well-capitalized hyperscalers and large industrial customers with significant financial resources and long-term infrastructure needs. As we have previously emphasized, our focus is not simply on the volume of the contracted load, but also on the quality, durability, and creditworthiness of the customers who are driving that growth. Turning to Slide 15. As I previously mentioned, ERCOT continues to represent the largest source of incremental demand across the footprint, with 45 gigawatts of Senate Bill 6 compliant contracted load additions in AEP Texas through 2030. As a reminder, our approach to forecasting load, including ERCOT load, is both rigorous and conservative and is supported by fully executed LOAs in Texas. These agreements require customers to secure land, complete interconnection studies, provide detailed load forecasts, and fund the associated infrastructure investments. As a result, the projects reflected in our incremental contracted load have progressed through a disciplined filtration process and represent credible customer commitments with a high degree of confidence. Additionally, we view the recent approval of ERCOT's batch framework as a meaningful step forward. The new framework is designed to better distinguish committed projects from more speculative requests and provide greater visibility into the timing of large load opportunities. A key milestone occurred last week when we submitted 45 gigawatts of projects into ERCOT's Batch Zero process, forecasted between now and 2032. ERCOT is currently reviewing those submissions and is expected to determine eligibility for inclusion in the Batch Zero study on August 7th. Based on the quality of the projects we submitted and the work completed with our customers, we believe that the projects are well-positioned and qualify for inclusion in a Batch Zero category. In fact, just over the past month, we have collected nearly $2 billion in cash or collateral for load commitments in ERCOT, which represents all the required credit support for the full 45 gigawatts included in AEP Texas's Batch Zero filing. The 45 gigawatts of Batch Zero load submitted by AEP Texas, all backed by fully executed LOAs and meaningful credit support, underscores the strength and credibility of demand in Texas. Importantly, our $78 billion capital plan does not anticipate this magnitude of load growth. While ERCOT's review process, available generation, and the timeline for transmission development may impact the timing of certain interconnections, these customers remain committed to connecting to our system. If some of the projects are pushed out, that does not diminish the investment opportunity. In fact, it provides greater confidence that AEP Texas's growth story will continue well into the next decade. The bottom line is that the demand fundamentals in Texas remain exceptionally strong, and the additional visibility we are gaining continues to reinforce the robust long-term growth projected there. Turning to Slide 16. Let me conclude with a few brief summary remarks regarding our significant progress achieved across the four key themes that reinforce our positive outlook and position us for continued success. First, enhancing financial performance. We continue to execute on our financial plan and remain focused on delivering consistent results for our stakeholders. Based on our year-to-date performance and the trends we're seeing across the business, we raised our 2026 operating earnings guidance by $0.10 per share. We have reaffirmed our annual operating earnings growth rate of 7%-9% and continue to expect an operating EPS CAGR of greater than 9% through 2030, based on the $78 billion capital plan. During the second quarter, we also substantially de-risked our financing plan through the successful execution of our $3 billion marketed equity transaction, which is expected to be settled under forward contracts by May 2028. With this transaction, we have addressed all the anticipated marketed equity needs to support the $78 billion five-year capital plan. We are now well-positioned to focus on the robust growth we are seeing across our footprint. As we evaluate incremental investment opportunities, we will continue to assess a broad set of financing tools with a focus on shareholder value. We remain committed to supporting strong investment-grade credit metrics, including our targeted FFO to debt ratio of 14%-15%. Second, driving customer affordability remains a key priority. The large load frameworks we have established across our jurisdictions support rapid growth while creating meaningful benefits for existing customers, including up to $16 billion of projected cost offsets. In addition, our DOE financing initiatives are expected to generate significant customer savings of $1.4 billion while supporting needed infrastructure investment. Third, capturing system-wide growth. Customer demand continues to accelerate as we now have 69 gigawatts of contracted load additions through 2030, supported by high-quality, well-capitalized customers. This demand continues to provide a significant runway for future investment and growth across our service territory. We also look forward to obtaining additional clarity on the timing of ERCOT load as the batch process review continues. We continue to advance our $78 billion base capital plan and the $10 billion of opportunities beyond the base plan, including the fuel cells for the Wyoming project, the Piketon transmission opportunity, and incremental power generation. We look forward to providing a more comprehensive update on our capital plan, financing strategy, and growth trajectory as part of our regular third-quarter financing plan update. We remain focused on improving regulatory and operational outcomes. Whether it's securing a significant amount of generation resources, advancing critical transmission investments, strengthening regulatory outcomes and relationships, or preparing the grid for unprecedented low growth, our teams are committed to delivering results for our customers and our shareholders while maintaining operational excellence. Taken altogether, we believe AEP is one of the best-positioned utilities to capitalize on the generational growth occurring across the electric sector, which is supported by a robust capital investment pipeline, a disciplined financing strategy, diverse footprint, and strong execution across the business. I will now ask the operator to please open the line for questions. Operator: I would like to remind everyone if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from the line of Shar Pourreza with Wells Fargo. You may go ahead. Shar Pourreza: Hey, guys. Good morning. Trevor Mihalik: Morning, Shar. Shar Pourreza: Morning, Bill. In West Virginia, I know one of your peers is seeing obviously a lot of growth from hyperscalers and potentially looking at a GenCo structure. I guess given the governor's goals around new gas, I guess how are you thinking about potential opportunities to serve hyperscalers in the state using maybe an alternative financing structure as we're kind of thinking about speed to market, like bypassing the CPCN process? Is a GenCo structure a potential opportunity you see down the road in West Virginia and maybe some of the other states? Trevor Mihalik: Thanks. Thanks for that question, Shar. We are clearly looking into the GenCo structure. We're finding it very intriguing, I think it will obviously be something we're closely analyzing. At a broader point with regards to West Virginia, really love where we're at in that state. I think you probably saw we already announced one project in West Virginia for about 1.2 gigs. We've got a number of other projects that are heading down the pathway to support the governor's goals of his 50 by 50 targets. I really like where we're at in West Virginia. We've made a tremendous change in atmosphere there. We're very aligned with all of the stakeholders, I think as the next several months go on, you'll see some pretty significant opportunities come to life there. Shar Pourreza: Got it. Okay. That's perfect. Then just maybe around the guidance and disclosures. Obviously, you guys have Batch Zero, some of that goes beyond 2030. At Batch One, you have 195 gigawatts figure out there. I guess, is there a point where you would think about maybe enhancing your disclosures? Some of your peers talk about like EPS ranges for every gigawatt of new large load that comes on. I guess, is there a point where you move away from this 7%-9% longer-term number out there? Clearly, Bill, what you're displaying is you guys are nine-plus and a huge amount of CapEx. I guess, is there a way you can provide a little bit more visibility beyond 2030 longer term, just to give investors some more confidence that this isn't sort of a short-term phenomenon? Thanks. Trevor Mihalik: Appreciate that viewpoint. I'll let Trevor hop in here to finish up on this question. There's a number of folks who have been quizzing us sort of like, what's our cost per line mile of transmission or cost per kilowatt of a plant? I've sort of kept our team from looking at it in that way because there's so many different variables across these projects, that trying to put a number in place like that on some metric I don't think is really all that accurate and meaningful. I'm really keeping our team focused on these things at a project-by-project basis. As far as sort of additional disclosures, Trevor, maybe give your viewpoint on that. Trevor Mihalik: Sure, Bill. Hey, Shar. Shar Pourreza: Hey, Trevor. Trevor Mihalik: With regards to the growth rate and beyond 2030, we really are looking forward to laying out our 2027 to 2031 plan. As you say, we've got that 195 gigs of folks trying to actively interconnect to the queue. I think what this really does is it shows that we have a pretty long runway of continued outsized CapEx growth well into the next decade. From that perspective, we will continue to generally talk about what the five-year growth rate is Then we will contemplate as to what we want to do in the third quarter when we roll out the new revised plan to maybe give some line of sight into anything beyond that. Again, I think right now what we remain very committed to is this greater than 9% growth rate over that five-year period. Again, seeing the amount of CapEx around generation transmission and distribution extending well into the next decade. Shar Pourreza: Got it. Okay. That's perfect. Thank you guys very much. Appreciate it. Bill Fehrman: Thanks. Bill Fehrman: Thanks. Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Steve Fleishman with Wolfe Research. You may go ahead. Steve Fleishman: Hey, good morning. Trevor Mihalik: Hey, Steve. Steve Fleishman: just maybe a little bit on the Batch Zero disclosure. Thanks for that. Is there any way to tie what's actually in the current capital plan for expected growth for AEP Texas to that? Trevor Mihalik: Yeah. Steve, what we've done is historically we've said that, generally the $78 billion five-year capital plan was disclosed, that it really was based on a 13 gigs of interconnection in Texas. We have raised that now, as you've seen, to the 45 gigs. Again, what we don't want to assume is that's a dollar for dollar increase, what it is doing is giving us line of sight to an increasing capital plan as we lay out what's going on in Texas. From that perspective, again, I think what's more meaningful is if you look beyond the 45, we also have, I think it's almost 100 gigawatts in Texas behind that 45 gigs. Again, we know not all of that will come on, I think what that really does is it shows line of sight beyond the five-year plan, with continued transmission build-out in Texas in support of these large loads interconnecting. Steve Fleishman: Okay. No, that's helpful. I guess the 13 gigs in the current plan is still below even what's in the base. Trevor Mihalik: That's right. Steve Fleishman: For- Trevor Mihalik: That's right Steve Fleishman: Batch Zero. Okay. Maybe just one clarification. Trevor Mihalik: Again, I would say I wouldn't put that as a multiple of 13, it's going to be three times bigger on the CapEx plan prospectively. Steve Fleishman: Right Trevor Mihalik: There is going to be some increased CapEx in Texas associated with this. Steve Fleishman: Understood. Both you and CenterPoint have given these disclosures, which are helpful. Do you have any idea, just the likelihood that ERCOT's going to change them when they finalize? Was this pretty explicit how they were set? Is there likely to be some adjustments? Do you have any insights on that? Yeah. Trevor Mihalik: I think if you take a look at what even ERCOT published recently, I think on July 28th, on their preliminary overview of the Batch Zero eligibility and what they were putting out there, what I would draw your attention to is within the 205 gigs that they had in the Batch Zero process that were eligible, we're roughly call it a quarter of that. Whether that gets pushed between base or allocated, I really look at those as probably pretty firm amounts, and maybe if it's a slip between base and allocated, it could slip one year. What that really does is gives us, again, confidence that you've got a longer term line of sight to deploy the capital. We feel very good about the 45 gigs. Again, as we said in the prepared remarks, the filtration process that we go through, we are pretty rigorous in what we put forward on that. Again, we've gotten all the financial commitments in $2 billion of cash and other forms of collateral in support of those 45 gigs. We're pretty confident in the 45 gigs. However ERCOT tries to move that around, I think that's pretty set. It just may move from Batch Zero to Batch One in worst case scenario. Steve Fleishman: Okay. One other just follow-up to the question on West Virginia. One of the things that FirstEnergy mentioned yesterday was also looking at kind of bridging opportunities for some of the new load there. Is that something that you think you could do for customers there as well? Trevor Mihalik: Absolutely. That's something that I would say we actually pioneered early on with our deal with Bloom Energy. In fact, as we started deploying bridging strategies, obviously we noticed others sort of picking up on that idea. As we communicate with customers, we're giving them a very clear line of sight to how much capacity they can get immediately. Which in West Virginia, we do have some reasonable opportunities there in that regard. Also, how we can supply them energy as we build out the transmission to go get them and/or the generation. I would say the customers we're talking with right now have been very pleased with the optionality we've provided them. Bill Fehrman: We have a number of active discussions in progress. Super excited about what's happening in West Virginia. Steve Fleishman: Thank you. Bill Fehrman: Yep. Thanks, Steve. Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Julien Dumoulin-Smith with Jefferies. You may go ahead. Julien Dumoulin-Smith: Hey, good morning, team. Thank you guys very much, I appreciate it. Nicely done again. If I can take a further focus on PJM here, one, would love to hear your latest thoughts of how you think about just engaging in non-utility avenues, right? You just alluded to BTM, for instance, as behind-the-meter bridging. When you think about segments, reporting, when you think about where some of this shows up, and your flexibility in helping customers, in a restructured geography, how do you think about participating? Or, for instance, would you engage in acquiring existing generation to rate base and effectively flow that through your traditional tariffs? Just curious on the different permutations both in West Virginia and in your other PJM properties, especially Ohio. Bill Fehrman: Yeah. Thanks, Julien, and good morning. I think we've proven that we're willing to go out and procure generation in our regulated utilities. In PJM, we've got a number of projects that we've announced in the past that have been purchased for instance, for Indiana Michigan Power. We're always on the hunt for good quality assets that we can use to really supplement what we have in these vertically integrated utilities. I also think that the benefit of PJM, obviously, is that we can have these assets in other locations and get that power delivered to where we need it. The benefits of the way we look at the system more broadly, is that the footprint really offers us significant advantages in this market. Because of the fact that a number of the hyperscalers now want to be in more rural areas, our ability to find generation sort of wherever and get it delivered, again, is a pretty significant key advantage for us as we go forward. Julien Dumoulin-Smith: Got it. Okay. Then just as you think about other novel avenues here to bring generation in, how do you think about new nuclear in the context of a GenCo, or how do you think about the new nuclear construct as it's evolving here with the rating agencies and other parties here? Ultimately, how is that coming together? You guys have been particularly outspoken on this. Bill Fehrman: Well, I think just on the broader topic of a GenCo, it's clearly something that we're doing significant evaluation of as we think it provides some pretty significant advantages to us as we go forward and look to serve these customers on a very significant size. On the new nuclear front, as we evaluate these new nuclear opportunities, whether they're in a GenCo or whether they're tied directly to a specific customer, just to reiterate, we're continuing to remain extremely prudent in the capital allocation and near-term spending on this to make sure that we're aligned with our broader financial strategy. As we've said in the prepared remarks, we're going to continue to require robust capital protection measures around this, some very strong balance sheet and credit safeguards and clear regulatory and policy support in order to move forward with anything. While the structures are interesting, we continue to look at other opportunities and trying to find a way to serve these customers in a manner that gives them the timing that they want. Julien Dumoulin-Smith: Sorry, just a quick one just to clarify the response to Shar earlier. You said you're committed to this greater than 9% growth rate over the five-year period. We've seen your peers kind of say, "Look, we're not going to be overly prescriptive. We're going to leave it as a kind of a 9-plus and you could do the math," if you will. Is that the construct that you're thinking about here? Obviously, given what you're even alluding to here, there's more latitude than what 9 would suggest. I'm just curious how you would think about communicating that. Or do you just leave the plus with maybe another plus? Bill Fehrman: My view is plus, plus, I'll let Trevor answer. Trevor Mihalik: Julien, I think from our perspective, given that we are at a greater than 9% over the five-year period, which I think is probably one of the industry-leading growth rates out there, I think we're comfortable with that because as you look beyond the five-year plan, we continue to see a lot of opportunity to continue to invest capital and an increased growing capital plan. We just want to be careful that we're not getting ourselves into a situation where it's making financing that difficult or anything to that effect. Again, I think for a utility with a TSR of 10%-13% is pretty robust. I think, again, we've alluded to the fact that, on this call and what we're happy to come out with on the third quarter call, a continued increase in the capital plan, which we'll continue to see that growth rate into the next decade. Julien Dumoulin-Smith: Awesome, guys. Thank you for the time. Bill Fehrman: Thanks, Julien. Trevor Mihalik: Thanks, Julien. Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Richard Sunderland with Truist Securities. You may go ahead. Richard Sunderland: Hey, good morning, and thanks for the time today. I want to stick with some of these PJM topics, but zoom out a little bit more. Just thinking back to last quarter, you had some comments on kind of the state of PJM, there have been numerous developments on the PJM front since then. I'm curious kind of on balance of all those developments and what's to come into the fall, how you're thinking about the sort of PJM push and takes as you see them right now. Bill Fehrman: As we highlighted back on the first quarter call, just to remind everybody, we saw three main issues as it pertains to serving new customer load in PJM: governance, the speed of interconnect, and then resource adequacy. Since that call, I want to say to all that the pace and intensity of productive conversations with PJM has significantly increased. We're seeing very positive engagement across the board, including the team at PJM, FERC, other key stakeholders, our states. We continue to analyze all of the options, and we're hopeful that we can all come together and create a set of solutions that allow us to meet the needs of the customers. We certainly recognize that PJM is seeking to address a number of these issues. Coming out of the July 23 technical conference, we are very optimistic that there's going to be alignment around some of the solutions. As these issues continue to evolve, it's obviously important that any of the frameworks that get put forward ensure fairness to all of the participants and protect customers and appropriately assign costs to those who are causing them. I'm very hopeful with where we're at. Obviously, this is an important topic for us. We were significantly engaged in the technical conference, I'm hopeful then that as the next few weeks pass, that there's going to be a good solution set that can be supported by ourselves and FERC and a number of our other stakeholders and collaborators. Richard Sunderland: Great. Thank you for the color there. Briefly outside that, I know you ticked through some of the considerations around fuel cells and Piketon. I guess across both those two in particular, how are you thinking about milestones into the 3Q plan update and if those projects will be ready for inclusion in the base plan, I guess particularly for fuel cells with that December date you highlighted? Trevor Mihalik: Richard, this is Trevor. I think we feel pretty optimistic with regards to both projects. I think we've been pretty public about the fact that I think the Piketon project in particular, we're advancing towards executing docs on that, and we anticipate that we would have executed docs in the third quarter. I think that would then roll into the five-year capital plan that we would roll out on the third quarter call. With regards to the Wyoming fuel cell project, there again, I think we continue to work with the hyperscaler. We did make some accommodations with regards to timing, and we're adequately compensated for that adjustment. Again, what we're really hopeful for is that project will advance, and I think timing is key on that, just because those fuel cells need to be installed and ready to go by the end of 2028 to qualify for the investment tax credit. I think likewise, we will see some positive movement, hopefully by that third quarter call, and then roll that into the five-year plan. Likewise, we also have, as we've said on the call, the 13 gigawatts of incremental generation. Some of that, call it maybe roughly about half, was in the existing $78 billion five-year capital plan. The incremental other half of those generation projects will roll in, and that's also some tailwinds going into the revised five-year capital plan for 2027 to 2031. Richard Sunderland: Great. Thanks for the time today. Trevor Mihalik: Thanks so much, Richard. Bill Fehrman: Thank you. Operator: Your next question comes from the line of David Arcaro with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead. David Arcaro: Dave, thank you. Good morning. Bill Fehrman: Morning, David. David Arcaro: I was wondering if you could elaborate a little bit on what types of agreements you're looking at for that 10 GW of turbines that you're kind of exploring access to in the 2030s. Is this framework agreements for gigawatts over that timeframe? I guess, what gives you the visibility also and kind of the line of sight looking out that far as to your current needs? Bill Fehrman: As you look at our overall planning, we're obviously one of the nation's largest owner-operators of electric generation. We've been very proactive since I arrived over the past couple of years to be securing turbines and other critical long lead time equipment, basically, essentially using our size and scale and our relationships with namely GE Vernova and Mitsubishi to get this equipment locked up. As we looked at, and are looking at our new five-year plan this fall, the new generation investments are going to play a pretty central role in driving the long-term growth as we look to deploy this 13 GW of turbine capacity across the regulated businesses. We've been obviously extremely proactive to get these turbines. As we think about where this is going, we know that generation is going to be a driving force, and because of that, it's a scarce resource and will become increasingly more valuable. This has certainly played out, and we're going to continue to be aggressive in our positions on this. We're continuing to actively work with the key suppliers, and are very confident that not only with what we have locked up, but we've got clear line of sight through certain framework agreements and such, that we can get what we need to continue to deliver for customers. Trevor, anything to add? Trevor Mihalik: Yeah. Thanks, Bill. Just two things. One, David, I would say that the 10 gigs is an option for us, so we're not committed to that, but we have the option to step into those slots. More importantly, I would also say, when you take a look at what the timing of those 10 gigs would be, it dovetails well into our existing plants that are aging and will be retiring. What this is really doing is setting us up really well to continue to replace potentially some of the coal plants and some of the retiring gas plants in our vertically integrated utilities. Again, it's just us taking a very forward-leaning approach to ensuring we've got access to the assets for the support of the entire portfolio. David Arcaro: Got it. That's helpful. I appreciate that. Separately, I was just wondering, as we head, I guess, into your 3Q and the update to the CapEx plan, as I'm looking at the new generation resources, just wondering, are there other incremental load opportunities coming between now and then, between now and 3Q? Is there further potential upside to, let's say, the Batch Zero? You've been obviously very active, very successful in the quarterly progress on contracting new large loads with 6 gigawatts here. Could that continue to increase as we go in the coming months into 3Q? Trevor Mihalik: I think what we have seen is that executed LOAs and ESAs increase every quarter over the last call it 6, 7 quarters here. We do continue to see active interconnection requests to connect to the system. Again, we do know that a lot of that is limited by generation in some of those states like Texas and Ohio. For our vertically integrated utilities, this is where we've been very forward-leaning in trying to secure those 13 gigs to ensure that we can meet that potential load. I would say this is something that we continue to see a lot of opportunity where large, well-capitalized, and not just hyperscalers, but industrial customers continue to actively try to interconnect to our system. I think you will continue to see that number continue to move and refine over the next several quarters. David Arcaro: Great. Thank you. Trevor Mihalik: Thank you. Bill Fehrman: Thanks, David. Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Jeremy Tonet with JPMorgan. Aidan: Hi. Good morning. This is actually Aidan on for Jeremy. Bill Fehrman: Hey, Aidan. Aidan: Good morning. Just want to hone in on the $16 billion of cost offsets. Clearly that's a very large number here, and I guess, is there any way how we should be thinking about translating that figure into annual bill mitigation across your key jurisdictions, and when customers should begin kind of seeing the most meaningful benefits? Trevor Mihalik: Yeah, let me kind of take a first stab at that, I'll also turn it over to Kate to see if she wants to add anything. I think one of the biggest things that we want to point out is that $16 billion over the life of the contract is really just at our vertically integrated utilities, because it's really under the ESAs. From that perspective, what we've done is when we looked at the calculation of that and see what the up to $16 billion of cost offsets could be, it was really done on a methodology spread across the vertically integrated utilities. Kate, do you want to add anything? Kate Dixon: Hi, Aidan. It's Kate. The only thing I would add is we're starting to see that come through our regulatory process already. In Indiana, we've been very public about the fact that we will be filing for a rate decrease. You've seen us have a rate decrease on the residential side in Ohio. You're starting to see some of that come through our rate proceedings already. As we move further through the cycle here, we expect that trend to continue. Aidan: Great. Thanks. That's super helpful. For the 2026 guidance raise today, could you just explain if that is more so driven by the generation and marketing segment? Or also kind of reflecting higher load growth or earned ROEs than maybe expected. I guess, how informative is your outlook for the gen and marketing segment in the go-forward years? Trevor Mihalik: On the guidance increase, we, one, want to emphasize that where we are year to date through Q2 is really well within, or actually it's in excess of what our plan was when we built the guidance range of the $6.15 to $6.45. We feel we had a good strong start to the first half of the year. Looking at the second half of the year, historically, Q3 has typically been our strongest quarter. Then we've got earnings uplift from certain regulatory matters, primarily in AEP Ohio with the inflation-based rates, also in SWEPCO Texas and in PSO. That will phase in over the second half of the year, which is giving us great confidence to be able to raise the guidance range to that increase in $0.10. That's really what we're looking at right now. Aidan: Great. Thank you. Appreciate the time today. I'll leave it there. Trevor Mihalik: Thanks so much. Operator: We have time for one more call. Michael Lonegan from Barclays, your line is open. Michael Lonegan: Thanks for taking my question. The Oklahoma rate case settlement includes the full transmission tracker that could improve your earned ROE in the state. Was that contemplated in your plan when you set the earned ROE target of 9.5% that you reiterated today? Would you say that target is now conservative? Should we expect you to meaningfully increase your capital in the state? Trevor Mihalik: I would say, I'm going to answer the second part of that question first. We continue to see robust growth across four key areas right now, being Texas, Oklahoma, Ohio, and Indiana. As Bill mentioned, we're starting to see a lot of opportunity around Virginia and West Virginia. I wouldn't say specifically it was contemplated on the tracker in our guidance, because you kind of go into these rate case settlements, and there's a lot of moving parts. With us getting the tracker and having the very slight decrease from 9.5 to 9.375 on what we've reached a potential settlement with some key interveners, I think those two largely offset each other pretty well. In fact, we feel very good about having a tracker mechanism there. From that perspective, it really needs to be contemplated in the full mindset of your give and take in these settlements. Michael Lonegan: Thank you. Just wondering if you could talk about when you plan to file the rate case in Indiana, and if you expect the case to be complicated by the affordability report in the state. I know you will be filing for a rate decrease, the affordability report establishes investigations to various aspects of rate making, including ROE. Just wondering how you are thinking about that with the rate case that will be going on during the investigations into rate making. Bill Fehrman: Well, first and foremost, Indiana remains really one of our premium jurisdictions, particularly given I&M's ability to capture the economic development there while simultaneously balancing affordability, particularly when we have historically low rates versus our other peers in that state. As you noted, we implemented rate reductions earlier this year, and we've announced plans to file a base rate decrease later on this summer. That hasn't been scheduled yet, but it's not far from now. These rate reductions, as Kate noted, are made possible by the ability to attract large load customers like Google and Microsoft, then shifting a significant amount of those fixed costs away from residential customers. With regards to the studies and the other activities that are going on there, I want to be very clear in the fact that we have very strong relationships in that state with key stakeholders. In fact, in our discussions with these state officials, they've pointed to I&M as being a leading example of how a company can support economic growth while actually driving customer affordability. They've cited I&M's plan rate decrease filing many times in those discussions. We look very forward to continue collaborating with all the stakeholders in the state to advance the outcomes that support economic development and enhance affordability for customers, and mostly create long-term value for our folks there in continuing to do what the state wants us to do, which is provide exceptional customer service and continue to try and reduce our costs, and that's what we're committed to do in that state. Michael Lonegan: Great. Thanks for taking my questions. Operator: This concludes the question and answer session. I would like to turn the call back over to Bill Fehrman, President and CEO, for closing remarks. Bill Fehrman: Yeah, look, everybody, really appreciate you joining us on today's call. I know there's a number of other earnings calls today. We appreciate you joining ours. If you have any follow-up items, just please reach out to the IR team with your questions. We look forward to seeing you all later in the year at the various investor conferences coming up. Thank you for your continued interest in our company. This concludes our call. Thank you. Operator: The telephone replay, playback ID 5662331, followed by the pound key. U.S. and Canada toll-free +1-800-770-2030. U.S. toll +1609-800-9909. Canada toll +1-647-362-9199. United Kingdom +442034333849. Echo replay will expire on Thursday, August 6th, 2026, 11:59 P.M. Eastern. Before you buy stock in American Electric Power, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and American Electric Power wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $397,081!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,166,221!* Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 889% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 203% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 30, 2026. This article is a transcript of this conference call produced for The Motley Fool. While we strive for our Foolish Best, there may be errors, omissions, or inaccuracies in this transcript. As with all our articles, The Motley Fool does not assume any responsibility for your use of this content, and we strongly encourage you to do your own research, including listening to the call yourself and reading the company's SEC filings. Please see our Terms and Conditions for additional details, including our Obligatory Capitalized Disclaimers of Liability. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. AEP (AEP) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript was originally published by The Motley Fool

American Electric Power Company, Inc. AEP used its second-quarter 2026 earnings call to emphasize accelerating customer demand, a larger investment pipeline and steps to support long-term infrastructure growth. Management raised its full-year outlook while highlighting expanded contracted load opportunities and generation planning. The call focused less on quarterly earnings pressure and more on how AEP is positioning its transmission, generation and regulatory platforms for sustained expansion. Executives also addressed investor questions around capital deployment, financing and emerging customer demand. AEP reported earnings of $1.36 per share for the second quarter of 2026, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.49. Revenues reached $5.45 billion, ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.26 billion. American Electric Power Company, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | American Electric Power Company, Inc. Quote Chief executive officer William Fehrman said the company added 6 gigawatts of contracted load during the quarter, bringing total contracted load additions through 2030 to 69 gigawatts. The company attributed much of the increase to fully executed agreements in Texas. Fehrman emphasized that large-load customers, including hyperscalers and industrial users, are central to AEP’s growth strategy. Management said these agreements are structured to provide customer commitments while helping spread fixed costs across a broader base. American Electric Power reaffirmed its $78 billion capital plan for 2026 through 2030, which management expects to support nearly 11% rate base compound annual growth. The company also identified more than $10 billion of potential incremental investments beyond the base plan. Chief financial officer Trevor Mihalik said AEP expects operating earnings growth of 7% to 9% annually through 2030 and operating EPS CAGR of more than 9%, supported by infrastructure investments and regulatory improvements. Management highlighted potential additions from the Wyoming fuel cell project, the Piketon transmission opportunity and incremental generation investments. Executives said these projects could expand the company’s long-term investment runway. AEP said it secured an additional 3 gigawatts of gas-fired turbine capacity during the quarter, increasing total secured turbine capacity to approximately 13 gigawatts for deployment through 2031. The company is also evaluating up to 10 gigawatts of additional turbine capacity through 2035. Fehrman said securing equipment early provides flexibility as demand increases and generation resources become more constrained. Management noted that the turbine strategy is intended to support customer growth and replace aging generation assets over time. The company also discussed early-stage nuclear opportunities. Fehrman said AEP remains disciplined on capital allocation and would require strong protections, financial safeguards and regulatory support before advancing such projects. American Electric Power faced analyst questions about whether growth opportunities could require new financing structures. A Wells Fargo analyst asked about alternative approaches for serving hyperscale customers, including potential generation company structures. Fehrman said AEP is evaluating the GenCo structure because it could provide advantages in serving large customers. He also highlighted opportunities in West Virginia, where the company is pursuing projects aligned with regional economic development goals. A Jefferies analyst questioned how AEP views new nuclear development and customer-specific generation structures. Management reiterated that any approach would prioritize balance sheet protection and disciplined investment decisions. AEP raised its 2026 operating earnings guidance to $6.25 to $6.55 per share from the prior range of $6.15 to $6.45 per share. Management cited strong first-half performance and expected regulatory benefits in the second half of the year. The company also completed a $3 billion marketed equity transaction intended to support the current capital plan. Management said the transaction addressed anticipated equity needs associated with the $78 billion investment program. Executives highlighted customer affordability efforts, including up to $16 billion in expected cost offsets from new large-load agreements and nearly $1.4 billion in estimated customer benefits from DOE loans and grants. AEP ended the call by emphasizing execution across financial performance, affordability, growth and regulatory outcomes. Management pointed to customer demand, infrastructure investment and regulatory progress as key priorities. The company said it continues to pursue growth while maintaining investment-grade credit metrics, including a targeted FFO-to-debt ratio of 14% to 15%. Management’s outlook centered on expanding infrastructure capacity, supporting new customer demand and advancing projects that could extend growth beyond the current five-year plan. AEP carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). The Zacks Rank focuses on earnings estimate revisions and is designed to help identify stocks with potential relative performance over the next one to three months. The Rank can change as analysts update earnings expectations following quarterly results. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. The stock has a Value Score of C, Growth Score of D, Momentum Score of A and VGM Score of C. Zacks Style Scores rate stocks from A to F, with stronger scores indicating more favorable characteristics within each investment style category. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

American Electric Power Company, Inc. AEP reported second-quarter 2026 operating earnings of $1.36 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.49 by 8.7%. The bottom line declined 4.9% from $1.43 in the year-ago quarter, primarily due to the timing of income taxes and the prior-year transmission minority-interest transaction.On a GAAP basis, AEP posted earnings of $1.31 per share, down from $2.29 a year ago. AEP generated total revenues of $5.45 billion, up 7% from $5.09 billion in the prior-year quarter. The top line also came ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.26 billion by 3.5%. American Electric Power Company, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | American Electric Power Company, Inc. Quote Vertically Integrated Utilities segment generated operating earnings of $302 million, up from $297 million. Rate changes contributed 21 cents per share, while normalized sales added 10 cents. Transmission & Distribution Utilities reported operating earnings of $239 million, up from $224 million in the year-ago period. Rate changes and higher transmission revenues supported the improvement. AEP Transmission Holdco’s operating earnings were $225 million, nearly unchanged from $224 million a year earlier. However, the segment’s earnings contribution was affected by the timing of the minority-interest transaction completed in 2025. Generation & Marketing operating earnings declined slightly to $91 million from $92 million in the year-ago quarter. Retail-related weakness was offset by gains from wholesale and other activities, while operations and maintenance costs created a modest drag. Corporate and Other posted an operating loss of $115 million, wider than the $71 million loss recorded a year earlier. Higher operating costs, interest expense, income-tax timing and other corporate items reduced quarterly operating earnings and offset gains across several utility businesses. AEP raised its 2026 operating earnings guidance range to $6.25-$6.55 per share from $6.15-$6.45. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at $6.35, which lies below the midpoint of the company’s projected range. American Electric currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. Entergy Corporation ETR reported second-quarter 2026 earnings of $1.03 per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 94 cents by 9.6%. However, the bottom line decreased 1.9% from the year-ago quarter’s figure of $1.05.Revenues rose 5.9% year over year to $3.52 billion but missed the consensus mark of $3.53 billion by 0.08%. PG&E Corporation PCG reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 40 cents, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 37 cents by 8.1%. The bottom line also increased 29% from the year-ago quarter’s figure of 31 cents.PCG reported second-quarter total revenues of $5.902 billion, up 0.1% from $5.898 billion registered in the year-ago period. However, the top line missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.31 billion by 6.4%.CMS Energy Corporation CMS reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted EPS of 37 cents, which came in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. However, the bottom line declined 47.9% from 71 cents in the year-ago quarter. Operating revenues totaled $1.83 billion, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.91 billion by 4.2%. The top line also fell 0.5% from $1.84 billion in the prior-year quarter. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) : Free Stock Analysis Report Entergy Corporation (ETR) : Free Stock Analysis Report Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (PCG) : Free Stock Analysis Report CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Operating Earnings (Q2 2026): $1.36 per share, or $742 million. Operating Earnings (Q2 2025): $1.43 per share (comparative period). Year-to-Date Operating Earnings (2026): $3.01 per share. Year-to-Date Operating Earnings (2025): $2.98 per share (comparative period). 2026 Full-Year Operating Earnings Guidance: Raised to a range of $6.25 to $6.55 per share. Regulated Earned ROE (Q2 2026): 9.2%. Five-Year Capital Plan (2026-2030): $78 billion. Contracted Load Additions (through 2030): 69 gigawatts. Secured Turbine Capacity (through 2031): Approximately 13 gigawatts. DOE Loan Guarantee (AEP Texas): Up to $3.3 billion. Projected Fixed Cost Offsets for Residential Customers: Up to $16 billion. Cash or Collateral for ERCOT Load Commitments: Nearly $2 billion collected in the past month. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 10 Warning Signs with AEP. Is AEP fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: July 30, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. American Electric Power Co Inc (NASDAQ:AEP) raised its 2026 full-year operating earnings guidance to a range of $6.25 to $6.55 per share, up from the previous $6.15 to $6.45 range, reflecting strong business performance. The company secured an additional 6 gigawatts of contracted load in the second quarter, bringing the total to 69 gigawatts through 2030, driven by high-quality, well-capitalized hyperscaler customers. AEP has secured approximately 13 gigawatts of turbine capacity for deployment through 2031, with options for an additional 10 gigawatts through 2035, positioning it to meet growing customer demand. The company achieved constructive regulatory outcomes, including a distribution base case settlement in Ohio with a 9.84% ROE and a base rate case settlement in principle in Texas for SWEPCO. AEP secured a $3.3 billion DOE loan guarantee for transmission projects in Texas, expected to deliver $685 million in customer savings, contributing to a total of $1.4 billion in projected customer benefits from DOE initiatives. Second-quarter 2026 operating earnings of $1.36 per share were below the $1.43 per share reported in the same period last year, impacted by the 2025 transmission minority interest sale and timing-related tax items. The company faces potential delays in the Wyoming fuel cell project, as the hyperscaler has the option to deploy fuel cells at an alternate location if the Cheyenne site does not advance by a December 2026 milestone. Increased O&M spend to enhance system reliability partially offset earnings in the first half of 2026, reflecting higher operational costs. The proposed Oklahoma base rate case settlement includes a slight decrease in authorized ROE from 9.5% to 9.375%, though this is offset by an enhanced transmission cost rider. The $78 billion five-year capital plan does not fully anticipate the magnitude of load growth in Texas, and the timing of interconnections may be impacted by ERCOT's review process and transmission development timelines. Here are the key highlights from American Electric Power Co Inc (NASDAQ:AEP)'s second-quarter 2026 earnings call. Q: Can you elaborate on the 45 gigawatts of load submitted into ERCOT's Batch Zero process and the confidence level in these projects?A: (Trevor Mihalik, CFO) We have high confidence in the 45 gigawatts submitted. This is supported by fully executed LOAs and we have collected nearly $2 billion in cash or collateral for these commitments, representing all required credit support. While ERCOT's review may shift some projects between batches, the demand fundamentals in Texas are exceptionally strong, and this provides a long runway for investment well into the next decade. Q: With the significant load growth, is there a point where you would move away from the 7% to 9% long-term growth rate and provide more visibility beyond 2030?A: (William Fehrman, CEO) We are committed to our greater than 9% EPS CAGR through 2030, which is industry-leading. (Trevor Mihalik, CFO) We will provide a more comprehensive update on our 2027-2031 capital plan in the third quarter. The 195 gigawatts of interconnection requests show a long runway for outsized CapEx growth well into the next decade, but we want to be careful not to over-commit on financing. Q: How are you thinking about the GENCO structure and opportunities in West Virginia, especially given the governor's goals?A: (William Fehrman, CEO) We are closely analyzing the GENCO structure and find it very intriguing. In West Virginia, we have already announced a 1.2-gigawatt project and have several others in the pipeline. We have made a tremendous change in atmosphere there and are very aligned with stakeholders, so we expect to see significant opportunities come to life in the coming months. Q: What is the status of the Wyoming fuel cell project and the Piketon transmission opportunity, and will they be included in the new five-year plan?A: (Trevor Mihalik, CFO) We are optimistic about both. For Piketon, we are advancing towards executing definitive agreements in the third quarter, which would then roll into the new five-year plan. For the Wyoming fuel cells, we reached an amendment with the hyperscaler for timing accommodations and were adequately compensated. We are hopeful for positive movement by the third quarter call, as the fuel cells need to be installed by the end of 2028 to qualify for the investment tax credit. Q: Can you explain the $16 billion in projected cost offsets for residential customers and how they are being realized?A: (Trevor Mihalik, CFO) The $16 billion represents fixed cost offsets over the life of the contracts at our vertically integrated utilities, driven by new large load customers with take-or-pay ESAs. (Kate Dixon, CAO) We are already seeing this in our regulatory proceedings, with base rate decreases filed in Ohio and a planned filing in Indiana Michigan Power later this summer. Q: What drove the raise in 2026 operating earnings guidance to $6.25-$6.55 per share?A: (Trevor Mihalik, CFO) Our year-to-date performance through Q2 was in excess of our original plan. Looking at the second half of the year, Q3 is historically our strongest quarter, and we have earnings uplift from regulatory matters phasing in, primarily in APCO with inflation-based rates, SWEPCO Texas, and PSO. This gives us confidence to raise the guidance by $0.10. Q: How are you thinking about the state of PJM and the progress on key issues like governance and interconnection speed?A: (William Fehrman, CEO) The pace and intensity of productive conversations with PJM have significantly increased since our last call. We are seeing very positive engagement from PJM, FERC, and other stakeholders. Coming out of the July 23rd technical conference, we are very optimistic that there will be alignment around solutions. It is important that any new frameworks ensure fairness and appropriately assign costs to those causing them. Q: What is the strategy behind securing up to 10 gigawatts of incremental turbine capacity through 2035?A: (William Fehrman, CEO) We have been very proactive in securing turbines from key suppliers like GE, Mitsubishi, and others, leveraging our size and scale. This 10 gigawatts is an option for us, not a commitment. (Trevor Mihalik, CFO) The timing of this capacity dovetails well with our aging plants that will be retiring, setting us up to replace coal and older gas plants in our vertically integrated utilities. Q: How does the Oklahoma rate case settlement, including the enhanced transmission cost rider, impact your earned ROE target of 9.5%?A: (Trevor Mihalik, CFO) The settlement includes a slight decrease in authorized ROE from 9.5% to 9.375%, but it also includes an enhanced transmission cost rider. We feel these two largely offset each other. Having the tracker mechanism is a positive outcome that we expect to result in a meaningful improvement in PSO's earned ROE. We continue to see robust growth across Oklahoma, Texas, Ohio, and Indiana. For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.

American Electric Power (AEP) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.36 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.49 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.43 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of -8.73%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this utility would post earnings of $1.55 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.64, delivering a surprise of +5.81%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times. AEP, which belongs to the Zacks Utility - Electric Power industry, posted revenues of $5.45 billion for the quarter ended June 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.48%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $5.09 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates four times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. AEP shares have added about 12.2% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 6.9%. While AEP has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for AEP was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is $1.98 on $6.33 billion in revenues for the coming quarter and $6.35 on $23.35 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year. Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Utility - Electric Power is currently in the bottom 34% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1. One other stock from the same industry, Fortis (FTS), is yet to report results for the quarter ended June 2026. The results are expected to be released on July 31. This electric and gas utility is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.55 per share in its upcoming report, which represents no change from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.5% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. Fortis' revenues are expected to be $2.02 billion, down 0.5% from the year-ago quarter. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) : Free Stock Analysis Report Fortis (FTS) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Interested in American Electric Power Company, Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. AEP raised its 2026 operating EPS guidance to $6.25–$6.55 from $6.15–$6.45, despite second-quarter earnings declining year over year to $1.36 per share. Contracted large-load additions increased to 69 gigawatts through 2030, led by 45 gigawatts in Texas, creating potential long-term investment opportunities beyond the company’s existing $78 billion capital plan. AEP highlighted growth and customer benefits from its investment pipeline, including 13 gigawatts of secured gas-turbine capacity, DOE financing expected to generate nearly $1.4 billion in customer benefits, and regulatory settlements supporting affordability and returns. Beyond the AI Trade: 3 Defensive Stocks Built for Stability American Electric Power (NASDAQ:AEP) raised its 2026 operating earnings guidance after reporting second-quarter operating earnings of $1.36 per share, or $742 million, as the utility highlighted rising contracted large-load demand, regulatory progress and an expanding pipeline of generation and transmission investments. The company increased its full-year operating earnings outlook to $6.25 to $6.55 per share, from a prior range of $6.15 to $6.45 per share. Second-quarter operating earnings were down from $1.43 per share a year earlier, while year-to-date operating earnings rose to $3.01 per share from $2.98 per share in the prior-year period. → Why SK hynix Could Be the Best AI Chip Stock to Buy Now 2 Dividend Stocks Insulated From Middle East Conflict Chairman, President and CEO Bill Fehrman said the year-over-year comparison was affected by the 2025 transmission minority-interest sale and timing-related tax items. CFO Trevor Mihalik said the company expects transmission earnings to make a favorable year-over-year contribution by the end of 2026 as infrastructure investment continues, while certain tax timing effects are expected to reverse by year-end. AEP said contracted load additions through 2030 reached 69 gigawatts, up 6 gigawatts from the prior quarter. The additions are supported by executed electric service agreements and letters of agreement, according to Mihalik. → 3 Value ETFs to Consider as Growth Stocks Lag Behind AI Power Crunch: Why Bloom Energy Is the Hidden Winner Texas represents the largest portion of the opportunity, with 45 gigawatts of contracted load additions through 2030. Ohio accounts for 12 gigawatts, while Oklahoma, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana and Virginia comprise the remaining 12 gigawatts. AEP Texas submitted 45 gigawatts of projects into ERCOT’s Batch Zero process, with expected timing between now and 2032. ERCOT was expected to determine eligibility for the Batch Zero study on Aug. 7. Mihalik said AEP had collected nearly $2 billion in cash or collateral supporting those commitments, representing the required credit support for the full 45 gigawatts in the filing. → 5 AI Stocks Are Pulling Back—Which Growth Catalysts Still Look Strongest? The company said its current $78 billion capital plan does not assume load growth of that magnitude. Mihalik said project timing could be affected by ERCOT’s review process, generation availability and transmission development, but that delayed connections would extend the investment runway rather than eliminate it. During the question-and-answer session, management said the existing capital plan had been based on approximately 13 gigawatts of Texas interconnections, rather than the 45 gigawatts submitted in Batch Zero. The company cautioned that higher load commitments should not be translated directly into a proportional increase in capital spending because project costs vary. AEP’s 2026-2030 capital plan totals $78 billion and is expected to support nearly 11% rate base compound annual growth. The company reaffirmed annual operating earnings growth of 7% to 9% and an operating EPS compound annual growth rate above 9% through 2030, based on the midpoint of its 2025 guidance. Fehrman said AEP has identified more than $10 billion of investment opportunities outside the base plan, including a Wyoming fuel-cell initiative, the Piketon transmission opportunity in Ohio and incremental generation. The company said it amended terms with the offtaker for the Wyoming fuel-cell project to address requested timing accommodations. Under the remaining December 2026 milestone, the hyperscaler can elect to place the fuel cells at an alternative site if the Cheyenne, Wyoming, location does not proceed. Fehrman said AEP retains shareholder protections if the milestone is not achieved or if additional changes are sought. AEP is also pursuing definitive agreements for the Piketon transmission project with prospective offtaker SP Energy. Mihalik said the company expects executed agreements could allow the project to be incorporated into the five-year plan it intends to release with third-quarter results. The company secured an additional 3 gigawatts of gas turbine capacity during the quarter, bringing total secured turbine capacity to about 13 gigawatts for deployment through 2031. AEP also has access to options for up to 10 gigawatts of additional turbine capacity through 2035. Management said the additional capacity could help replace aging coal and gas plants in vertically integrated utilities. AEP completed a $3 billion marketed equity transaction during the quarter, expected to settle under forward contracts by May 2028. Mihalik said the transaction addressed the company’s anticipated marketed equity needs for the $78 billion capital plan. AEP continues to target a funds-from-operations-to-debt ratio of 14% to 15%. AEP said new large-load customers could create up to $16 billion of fixed-cost offsets for residential customers in its vertically integrated utilities over the life of take-or-pay service agreements. Management said rate reductions are already emerging in regulatory proceedings, including an Ohio order and a planned Indiana Michigan Power base-rate reduction filing later this summer. The company also cited Department of Energy financing as a source of customer savings. AEP Texas secured a DOE loan guarantee of up to $3.3 billion for roughly 2,800 miles of transmission projects. AEP said the financing is expected to produce about $685 million in customer savings over the life of the loan. Across its portfolio, the company has secured about $5 billion in DOE loans and nearly $400 million in grants, representing expected customer benefits of nearly $1.4 billion. Regulatory outcomes during the quarter included an Ohio distribution base-case settlement featuring a base-rate decrease and a 9.84% authorized return on equity, up from 9.7%. In Oklahoma, Public Service Company of Oklahoma filed a settlement that would reduce its authorized ROE to 9.375% from 9.5% but add an enhanced transmission cost rider that AEP expects to improve earned ROE. AEP said its regulated earned ROE was 9.2% during the quarter and reiterated its expectation of reaching 9.5% by 2030 through regulatory execution and rate-making changes. The company also said it is evaluating a generation-company structure and other arrangements to serve large customers, while maintaining that any nuclear development would require customer commitments, financial protections and regulatory support. American Electric Power (NASDAQ: AEP) is a major investor-owned electric utility headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. The company is primarily engaged in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity, operating a diverse portfolio of power plants and an extensive high-voltage transmission network. AEP serves retail customers through its regulated utility subsidiaries and provides wholesale power and grid services across multiple regional markets in the United States. Operations span the full utility value chain: AEP owns and operates generation assets that include fossil-fuel, natural gas, nuclear and hydropower facilities, and it has been adding renewable resources to its mix. This instant news alert was generated by narrative science technology and financial data from MarketBeat in order to provide readers with the fastest reporting and unbiased coverage. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]. The article "American Electric Power Q2 Earnings Call Highlights" was originally published by MarketBeat. View MarketBeat's top stocks for July 2026.

Our analysts just identified a stock with the potential to be the next Nvidia. Tell us how you invest and we'll show you why it's our #1 pick. Tap here. Performance attribution for the quarter was impacted by timing-related tax items and the 2025 transmission minority interest sale, though underlying results remain strong due to constructive regulatory outcomes and higher normalized sales. Management raised 2026 full-year guidance to $6.25-$6.55 per share, citing high confidence in business performance and the phasing in of regulatory uplifts in the second half of the year. Strategic positioning is centered on a 'differential advantage' provided by AEP's geographic footprint, particularly in Texas and Ohio, where large-load demand is accelerating. The company is leveraging its scale to drive affordability, projecting up to $16 billion in fixed-cost offsets for residential customers as new data centers and hyperscalers join the system. Operational context includes a proactive procurement strategy, securing 13 gigawatts of turbine capacity through 2031 to mitigate supply chain risks and meet growing energy needs. Regulatory outcomes improved with a settlement in Ohio that increased ROE to 9.84% and the approval of large-load tariffs in five jurisdictions to protect existing customers. The five-year capital plan for 2026-2030 stands at $78 billion, with a projected 11% rate base CAGR and an operating EPS CAGR of greater than 9% through 2030. Management identified over $10 billion in incremental investment opportunities beyond the base plan, including fuel cells for the Wyoming project and the Piketon transmission opportunity. AEP has secured options for an additional 10 gigawatts of turbine capacity through 2035 to support long-term resource deployment and replace aging generation assets. The financing strategy is substantially de-risked following a $3 billion marketed equity transaction, which addresses all anticipated marketed equity needs for the current five-year plan. Future growth assumes the successful integration of 69 gigawatts of contracted load additions, with 45 gigawatts specifically submitted for ERCOT's Batch Zero process. The Wyoming fuel cell project reached an amendment allowing the hyperscaler to deploy cells at an alternate location if the site does not advance, while maintaining financial protections for AEP. AEP Texas secured a $3.3 billion DOE loan guarantee, expected to save customers $685 million over the loan's life through lower financing costs. Management is evaluating a 'GenCo' structure to potentially serve hyperscalers more efficiently and bypass certain regulatory hurdles like the CPCN process. Nuclear generation strategy remains in early stages, with management emphasizing a disciplined, fee-based approach to limit risk to the balance sheet and existing customers. One stock. Nvidia-level potential. 30M+ investors trust Moby to find it first. Get the pick. Tap here. Management confirmed they are actively analyzing the GenCo structure as an intriguing option to serve large-load customers with greater speed to market. The company is aligned with West Virginia's goal of 50% growth by 2050 and is exploring bridging strategies to provide immediate capacity to new customers. AEP submitted 45 gigawatts of projects into Batch Zero, backed by $2 billion in cash or collateral, representing a rigorous filtration of credible customer commitments. While the current $78 billion plan only assumes 13 gigawatts of Texas growth, the Batch Zero submissions provide confidence in investment opportunities extending well into the next decade. Management noted a significant increase in productive engagement with PJM, FERC, and state stakeholders following the July 23 technical conference. AEP is optimistic about reaching alignment on solutions that ensure fairness and appropriately assign costs to those driving the need for new infrastructure. Management expressed confidence in maintaining a 'greater than 9%' growth rate, citing a long runway of outsized CapEx needs for generation, transmission, and distribution. A more comprehensive update on the 2027-2031 plan and long-term trajectory will be provided during the third-quarter earnings call.

American Electric Power Company, Inc. AEP is slated to release second-quarter 2026 results on July 30, before market open. In the last reported quarter, the company delivered an earnings surprise of 5.81%.Let’s discuss the factors that are likely to be reflected in the upcoming quarterly results. AEP’s second-quarter earnings are expected to have benefited from its position as a high-quality, pure-play electric utility operating in growth regions. The company’s focus on providing reliable, affordable power and leveraging its scale to secure critical resources to meet increasing customer demand across its service territories is likely to have supported its performance.American Electric is expected to have benefited from favorable rate revisions implemented in previous quarters, along with industrial load growth, rising data center demand and stronger normalized retail sales, supported by economic growth across AEP’s operating states.Higher operation and maintenance expenses and increased interest expenses are likely to have offset some of the gains in the company’s second-quarter earnings. However, strong revenue growth is expected to have supported AEP’s overall bottom-line performance. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEP’s sales is pegged at $5.26 billion, which indicates year-over-year growth of 3.4%.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at $1.49 per share, which suggests a year-over-year rise of 4.2%. Our proven model does not conclusively predict an earnings beat for American Electric this time. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat, which is not the case here, as you will see below. American Electric Power Company, Inc. price-eps-surprise | American Electric Power Company, Inc. Quote Earnings ESP: AEP has an Earnings ESP of -0.36%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.Zacks Rank: Currently, American Electric carries a Zacks Rank #3. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here. Here, we have mentioned a few players from the same industry that have the right combination of elements to beat earnings in the upcoming releases:Ameren Corporation AEE is scheduled to report its second-quarter 2026 results on July 30, after market close. It has an Earnings ESP of +0.19% and a Zacks Rank of 2 at present.AEE’s long-term (three to five years) earnings growth rate is 7.68%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stands at $1.08 per share, which implies a year-over-year increase of 6.9%.The Southern Company SO is set to report its second-quarter 2026 results on July 30, before market open. It has an Earnings ESP of +1.16% and a Zacks Rank of 3 at present.SO’s long-term earnings growth rate is 11.15%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stands at $1.01 per share, which calls for a year-over-year jump of 11%.Edison International EIX is slated to report its second-quarter 2026 results on July 30, after market close. It has an Earnings ESP of +4.66% and a Zacks Rank of 2 at present.EIX’s long-term earnings growth rate is 2.10%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at $1.02 per share, which suggests a year-over-year rise of 5.2%. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) : Free Stock Analysis Report Ameren Corporation (AEE) : Free Stock Analysis Report Southern Company (The) (SO) : Free Stock Analysis Report Edison International (EIX) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Wall Street expects a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when American Electric Power (AEP) reports results for the quarter ended June 2026. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The earnings report, which is expected to be released on July 30, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise. This utility is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.49 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +4.2%. Revenues are expected to be $5.34 billion, up 5.1% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.1% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction). The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only. A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP. Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell). For AEP, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bearish on the company's earnings prospects. This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of -1.27%. On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #2. So, this combination makes it difficult to conclusively predict that AEP will beat the consensus EPS estimate. While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number. For the last reported quarter, it was expected that AEP would post earnings of $1.55 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.64, delivering a surprise of +5.81%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times. An earnings beat or miss may not be the sole basis for a stock moving higher or lower. Many stocks end up losing ground despite an earnings beat due to other factors that disappoint investors. Similarly, unforeseen catalysts help a number of stocks gain despite an earnings miss. That said, betting on stocks that are expected to beat earnings expectations does increase the odds of success. This is why it's worth checking a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank ahead of its quarterly release. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported. AEP doesn't appear a compelling earnings-beat candidate. However, investors should pay attention to other factors too for betting on this stock or staying away from it ahead of its earnings release. Stay on top of upcoming earnings announcements with the Zacks Earnings Calendar. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research