ADTN
ADTRANDNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 showed a real operating turn: revenue growth reaccelerated, gross and operating margins improved, operating cash flow was positive, and Q2 guidance suggests the recovery can continue if broadband and optical demand stay firm [#8-K-2026-05-05].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
ADTRAN had $201.3 million of 3.75% convertible senior notes outstanding, adding leverage sensitivity if the operating recovery fades [#10-Q-2026-05-05].
Momentum
11
Value
59
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $14.75 · Bull $17.00 · Bear $11.50
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-20
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $19.44
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d -2.2
Value59 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +12.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
11
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-36.6
Value
59
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+1.4
Sentiment
57
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.1
Δ21d
+15.0
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 10.7 / Value 58.7 / Sentiment 57.3
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$939.58M
Beta
1.40
Shares Out
81M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-22.3
P/S (TTM)
0.68
P/FCF (TTM)
25.41
Rev YoY
+15.5%
EPS YoY
-91.0%
Gross Margin
+38.6%
Op Margin
-3.4%
Net Debt
$121.26M
Current Ratio
1.77
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology