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ADT

ADTB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
View Chart
Current thesis
The post-Q1 bull case is that ADT is showing resilient cash generation, modest top-line growth, EPS support from buybacks, and early evidence that ADT+ plus Origin AI can improve mix and long-term unit economics. Q1 also came in ahead of consensus on both EPS and revenue in trusted coverage, which helps validate the near-term floor.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.
What can break
2026 outlook still calls for approximately flat revenue and adjusted EPS, limiting room for multiple expansion if growth initiatives take longer to show through. [#8-K-2026-04-30]
Momentum
31
Value
73
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.40 · Bull $8.50 · Bear $6.20
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.16
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d +10.9
Value73 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -6.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
31
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.9
Δ21d
+9.1
Value
73
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
54
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.9
Δ21d
-12.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 30.6 / Value 72.5 / Sentiment 54.2

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$5.05B
Beta
0.99
Shares Out
733.25M
P/E (TTM)
11.0
P/S (TTM)
1.31
P/FCF (TTM)
11.22
Rev YoY
+0.9%
EPS YoY
+26.9%
Gross Margin
+49.1%
Op Margin
+25.2%
Net Debt
$7.68B
Current Ratio
0.84
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology