ADT
ADTCNYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
The post-Q1 bull case is that ADT is showing resilient cash generation, modest top-line growth, EPS support from buybacks, and early evidence that ADT+ plus Origin AI can improve mix and long-term unit economics. Q1 also came in ahead of consensus on both EPS and revenue in trusted coverage, which helps validate the near-term floor.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
2026 outlook still calls for approximately flat revenue and adjusted EPS, limiting room for multiple expansion if growth initiatives take longer to show through. [#8-K-2026-04-30]
Momentum
31
Value
71
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.40 · Bull $8.50 · Bear $6.20
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-05-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.50
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d -18.2
Value71 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +7.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
31
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-18.2
Δ21d
-3.7
Value
71
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
58
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.6
Δ21d
+9.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 31.4 / Value 70.9 / Sentiment 57.6
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-05-28
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-05-28
Market Cap
$5.38B
Beta
0.99
Shares Out
819.76M
P/E (TTM)
11.0
P/S (TTM)
1.31
P/FCF (TTM)
11.22
Rev YoY
+4.4%
EPS YoY
+18.9%
Gross Margin
+80.9%
Op Margin
+25.2%
Net Debt
$7.61B
Current Ratio
0.67
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology