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ADNT

AdientA
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Higher vehicle volumes, pricing recovery and sustained free cash flow could support margin improvement and capital returns. Adient raised its fiscal 2026 sales outlook in August, but did not raise adjusted EBITDA or free-cash-flow guidance.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
Approximately $1.5 billion of net debt at June 30 limits flexibility if cash generation weakens. Adient Q3 release
Momentum
56
Value
72
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $12.50Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $24.00
Why
Momentum56 · Δ7d -21.9
Value72 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +3.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Approximately $1.5 billion of net debt at June 30 limits flexibility if cash generation weakens. Adient Q3 release
  • • EMEA and Asia adjusted EBITDA declined year over year in Q3; regional recovery remains unproven. Adient Q3 release
  • • Q3 adjusted EBITDA was flat despite 5% sales growth, with weaker EMEA and Asia results.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-04

November 4 fiscal 2026 results and outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
56
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-21.9
Δ21d
-8.2
Value
72
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.7
Δ21d
-1.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 56.4 / Value 71.6 / Sentiment 66.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.28B
Beta
1.61
Shares Out
77.1M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
8.6
P/S (TTM)
0.11
P/FCF (TTM)
7.53
Rev YoY
+5.0%
EPS YoY
-26.6%
Gross Margin
+6.1%
Op Margin
+2.6%
Net Debt
$1.7B
Current Ratio
1.10
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data