ACRE
Ares Commercial Real EstateDNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
Improved funding conditions and stable asset-level cash flows support recovery toward the analyst high (~$6.00), restoring dividend confidence and narrowing spread to peers.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-24 · BMO.
What can break
borrower defaults / credit losses
Momentum
24
Value
40
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.97 · Bull $6.00 · Bear $4.00
Earnings
2026-07-24 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.20
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d +2.0
Value40 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -8.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
24
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
-5.8
Value
40
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-9.2
Sentiment
59
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.4
Δ21d
-7.5
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 23.9 / Value 40.0 / Sentiment 58.6
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-22
Market Cap
$253.55M
Beta
1.29
Shares Out
55.48M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-278.7
P/S (TTM)
1.97
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-3.29
Rev YoY
-17.1%
EPS YoY
-203.5%
Gross Margin
+66.8%
Op Margin
-5.7%
Net Debt
$980.3M
Current Ratio
0.57
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology