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ACM

AECOMB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
AECOM's core design and infrastructure franchise continues to show demand strength through record backlog, record wins, strong book-to-burn, and resilient adjusted margins excluding the charge. Long-term targets were reaffirmed.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.3.
What can break
A $337 million pre-tax charge resulted from higher projected costs and delayed completion of a Construction Management project.
Momentum
36
Value
58
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $68.00 · Bull $84.00 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-08-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $81.36
Why
Momentum36 · Δ7d -2.8
Value58 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment67 · Δ7d -3.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A $337 million pre-tax charge resulted from higher projected costs and delayed completion of a Construction Management project.
  • • FY2026 free-cash-flow guidance is approximately $300 million, with lower NSR expectations tied to delayed project starts and Middle East conflict.
  • • The project charge exposes legacy contract and execution risk, while the guidance reset lowers near-term earnings and cash-flow visibility.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-11

Q3 earnings reset and lower FY2026 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
36
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.8
Δ21d
+1.0
Value
58
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
-10.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 35.9 / Value 58.5 / Sentiment 66.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-13. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$84.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$7.78B
Beta
1.08
Shares Out
128.7M
P/E (TTM)
20.7
P/S (TTM)
0.81
P/FCF (TTM)
23.65
Rev YoY
-14.2%
EPS YoY
-149.6%
Gross Margin
+5.7%
Op Margin
+4.6%
Net Debt
$1.78B
Current Ratio
1.06
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data