B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ACI
Albertsons CompaniesCNYSE / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
ACI Edge could improve accountability, merchandising leverage, customer value, and execution, while digital and pharmacy growth provide partial offsets to core-grocery weakness. Recent open-market purchases by senior executives may support sentiment but are not operating evidence.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
ACI Edge productivity benefits are forward-looking and may arrive later than the accelerated customer-value investments.
Momentum
23
Value
65
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $12.50 · Bull $14.50 · Bear $9.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $14.19
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d -4.6
Value65 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +6.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • ACI Edge productivity benefits are forward-looking and may arrive later than the accelerated customer-value investments.
- • Continued softer industry unit trends and a more cautious consumer could worsen identical-sales performance.
- • Q1 missed management expectations, identical sales declined, margins compressed, interest expense rose, and management revised FY2026 outlook while accelerating investment ahead of productivity benefits.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-04
ACI Edge execution and operating-model reset
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
23
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.6
Δ21d
+15.5
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.9
Δ21d
+2.8
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 23.1 / Value 65.3 / Sentiment 64.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.92B
Beta
0.47
Shares Out
485.33M
P/E (TTM)
9.4
P/S (TTM)
0.12
P/FCF (TTM)
28.44
Rev YoY
+0.2%
EPS YoY
-58.6%
Gross Margin
+25.0%
Op Margin
+2.0%
Net Debt
$15.08B
Current Ratio
0.84
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data