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ACEL

Accel EntertainmentA
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 release supports a durable operating thesis: record revenue and EBITDA, location and terminal growth, Illinois route optimization, TITO adoption, Chicago optionality, and expansion in developing markets. The balance sheet provides flexibility for acquisitions and repurchases.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.4.
What can break
Analyst revisions, options positioning, short interest, employee sentiment, and social coverage are unavailable, limiting confidence in forward valuation.
Momentum
36
Value
67
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $13.80 · Bull $16.00 · Bear $10.00Analysis 2026-09-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $16.00
Why
Momentum36 · Δ7d +1.7
Value67 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment84 · Δ7d +9.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revisions, options positioning, short interest, employee sentiment, and social coverage are unavailable, limiting confidence in forward valuation.
  • • CEO succession and transition execution could affect operating continuity.
  • • Chicago growth is regulatory- and licensing-dependent, the CEO transition to chairman creates a continuity watchpoint, and net debt remains material despite approximately 1.4x leverage.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 record quarter reinforces operating execution

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
36
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
+4.8
Value
67
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.3
Sentiment
84
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.4
Δ21d
+9.2
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 35.8 / Value 66.9 / Sentiment 83.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$13.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$989.75M
Beta
1.08
Shares Out
81.19M
P/E (TTM)
22.7
P/S (TTM)
0.73
P/FCF (TTM)
24.68
Rev YoY
+9.6%
EPS YoY
+78.1%
Gross Margin
+25.5%
Op Margin
+8.2%
Net Debt
$332.79M
Current Ratio
2.47
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data