B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ACDC
ProFracDNasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 sequential improvement, management's Q3 pricing outlook, steady utilization expectations, and cited high-spec fleet tightness support a cautious recovery case.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-05.
What can break
Negative free cash flow and continuing net losses may constrain financial flexibility.
Momentum
17
Value
43
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.70 · Bull $6.00 · Bear $3.40Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-05
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-30 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-29 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-29
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-29
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-29. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.38
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d -5.4
Value43 · Δ7d -0.7
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -19.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-05.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -19.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Negative free cash flow and continuing net losses may constrain financial flexibility.
- • No reliable post-earnings consensus surprise, analyst revision, or target-change data is available.
- • The company remains loss-making with negative free cash flow, while proppant pricing pressure and cyclical energy-services demand could offset stimulation improvements.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-05
Q3 pricing and utilization validation
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
17
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.4
Δ21d
+1.9
Value
43
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-19.4
Δ21d
-6.0
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 17.4 / Value 42.6 / Sentiment 60.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$4.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-30
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-30
Market Cap
$888.76M
Beta
1.69
Shares Out
182.12M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.2
P/S (TTM)
0.38
P/FCF (TTM)
37.53
Rev YoY
-0.8%
EPS YoY
-34.8%
Gross Margin
-0.9%
Op Margin
-10.7%
Net Debt
$1.16B
Current Ratio
0.84
As of 2026-10-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data