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ACDC

ProFracD
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 sequential improvement, management's Q3 pricing outlook, steady utilization expectations, and cited high-spec fleet tightness support a cautious recovery case.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.9.
What can break
Negative free cash flow and continuing net losses may constrain financial flexibility.
Momentum
41
Value
42
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.70 · Bull $6.00 · Bear $3.40Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.38
Why
Momentum41 · Δ7d +11.7
Value42 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -3.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Negative free cash flow and continuing net losses may constrain financial flexibility.
  • • No reliable post-earnings consensus surprise, analyst revision, or target-change data is available.
  • • The company remains loss-making with negative free cash flow, while proppant pricing pressure and cyclical energy-services demand could offset stimulation improvements.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-06

Q3 pricing and utilization validation

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
41
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.7
Δ21d
+33.8
Value
42
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-12.5
Sentiment
55
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.9
Δ21d
-5.1
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 40.5 / Value 42.2 / Sentiment 55.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$4.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$961.61M
Beta
1.69
Shares Out
182.12M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.4
P/S (TTM)
0.38
P/FCF (TTM)
37.53
Rev YoY
-0.8%
EPS YoY
-34.8%
Gross Margin
-0.9%
Op Margin
-10.7%
Net Debt
$1.16B
Current Ratio
0.84
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data