B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.21
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
ABSI
AbsciFNasdaq / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
A successful licensing deal or a positive platform-driven discovery outcome re-rates Absci toward a mid-single-digit multiple as revenue visibility improves and dilution is minimized.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Failure to secure partners or the need for dilutive financing amid continued R&D expenses drives the share down materially; limited near-term revenue keeps downside elevated.
Momentum
90
Value
41
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.34 · Bull $4.21 · Bear $1.17Analysis 2025-11-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-11-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.40
Why
Momentum90 · Δ7d +9.4
Value41 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Failure to secure partners or the need for dilutive financing amid continued R&D expenses drives the share down materially; limited near-term revenue keeps downside elevated.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
2026-03-31
Upcoming clinical or partnership updates for protein-engineering platform
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
90
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.4
Δ21d
-7.3
Value
41
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 89.6 / Value 41.2 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-11-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$2.34
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.17
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.59B
Beta
2.13
Shares Out
171.61M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-11.0
P/S (TTM)
199.78
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-12.81
Rev YoY
-46.4%
EPS YoY
-12.0%
Gross Margin
-610.7%
Op Margin
-8411.3%
Net Debt
-$138.99M
Current Ratio
10.63
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data