B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.21
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
ABSI
AbsciFNasdaq / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
A successful licensing deal or a positive platform-driven discovery outcome re-rates Absci toward a mid-single-digit multiple as revenue visibility improves and dilution is minimized.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Failure to secure partners or the need for dilutive financing amid continued R&D expenses drives the share down materially; limited near-term revenue keeps downside elevated.
Momentum
83
Value
41
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.34 · Bull $4.21 · Bear $1.17Analysis 2025-11-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-11-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.40
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d +4.6
Value41 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Failure to secure partners or the need for dilutive financing amid continued R&D expenses drives the share down materially; limited near-term revenue keeps downside elevated.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
2026-03-31
Upcoming clinical or partnership updates for protein-engineering platform
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
83
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.6
Δ21d
-14.2
Value
41
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 83.4 / Value 41.2 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-11-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$2.34
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.17
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.59B
Beta
2.13
Shares Out
171.61M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-11.0
P/S (TTM)
199.78
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-12.81
Rev YoY
-46.4%
EPS YoY
-12.0%
Gross Margin
-610.7%
Op Margin
-8411.3%
Net Debt
-$138.99M
Current Ratio
10.63
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data