ABR

Arbor Realty TrustB

NYSE / Financial Services

At close

2026-07-22

Current thesis

The constructive view is that Arbor is still showing operating throughput in its agency and structured platforms, while the March securitization and earlier liquidity actions may improve funding flexibility ahead of the next origination cycle.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-24.

What can break

ABR remains exposed to CRE credit performance, real-estate market conditions, and interest-rate or credit-spread moves that can pressure funding economics and asset valuations.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $8.25 · Bull $9.50 · Bear $6.75

Earnings

2026-07-24

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-22

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-22

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $6.25

Why

Momentum8 · Δ7d +3.1

Value60 · Δ7d +0.0

Sentiment85 · Δ7d 0.0

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+3.1

Δ21d

+4.2

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.0

Δ21d

+0.5

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

0.0

Δ21d

+2.3

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 8.4 / Value 60.4 / Sentiment 85.3

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-22

Market Cap

$969.5M

Beta

1.35

Shares Out

192.36M

P/E (TTM)

10.9

P/S (TTM)

1.27

P/FCF (TTM)

24.60

Rev YoY

-1.0%

EPS YoY

-98.1%

Gross Margin

+94.8%

Op Margin

+14.8%

Net Debt

$10.5B

Current Ratio

0.44

As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology