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ABG

Asbury Automotive GroupB
NYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Completed Tekion and Total Care Auto rollouts create a measurable efficiency opportunity. BofA retained Buy after Q3, citing constructive early Tekion results, although it trimmed its target to $232 from $234.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.0.
What can break
Company-wide Tekion productivity remains unproven: early-market improvements coexist with Q3 adjusted SG&A at 67.4% of gross profit. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27]
Momentum
19
Value
66
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $205.00 · Bull $240.00 · Bear $165.00Analysis 2026-10-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-30 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-30 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-30

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-30. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $216.60
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d +4.6
Value66 · Δ7d -1.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -5.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Company-wide Tekion productivity remains unproven: early-market improvements coexist with Q3 adjusted SG&A at 67.4% of gross profit. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27]
  • • Q3 adjusted EPS and revenue missed the cited consensus despite the post-release share-price gain. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27] Consensus comparison
  • • Q3 adjusted EPS fell from $7.17 a year earlier to $6.16 and missed consensus; consolidated adjusted SG&A remained elevated at 67.4% of gross profit.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-13

Post-earnings rally faces a results test

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
19
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+4.6
Δ21d
+5.8
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.0
Δ21d
-16.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 19.1 / Value 65.7 / Sentiment 55.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$240.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$205.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-30
Market Cap
$3.56B
Beta
0.82
Shares Out
17.95M
P/E (TTM)
8.4
P/S (TTM)
0.26
P/FCF (TTM)
7.42
Rev YoY
+0.3%
EPS YoY
-19.3%
Gross Margin
+16.6%
Op Margin
+5.1%
Net Debt
$6.06B
Current Ratio
0.91
As of 2026-10-30 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data