B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$230.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ABG
Asbury Automotive GroupBNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Completed Tekion conversion and early gains in established markets could broaden into better service productivity and expense absorption. BofA maintained Buy after the print, while modestly reducing its target to $232 from $234; that is one analyst's view, not a broad positive revision signal.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.0.
What can break
Q3 adjusted EPS and revenue missed published consensus estimates; consensus figures vary across providers. MarketBeat Investing.com
Momentum
19
Value
66
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $200.00 · Bull $230.00 · Bear $160.00Analysis 2026-10-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-29 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-29
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-29
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-29. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $216.60
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d +1.6
Value66 · Δ7d -1.0
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -12.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Q3 adjusted EPS and revenue missed published consensus estimates; consensus figures vary across providers. MarketBeat Investing.com
- • Q3 gross margin of 16.6% was below Q2's 17.2%, and company-wide Tekion efficiency gains remain to be demonstrated. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27] [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
- • Q3 adjusted earnings fell 21% year over year, reported net income fell 29%, and published consensus comparisons show an earnings and revenue miss.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-10
Q3 earnings miss versus strong share-price reaction
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
19
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
-1.8
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.6
Δ21d
-14.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 18.8 / Value 65.9 / Sentiment 54.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$200.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-28
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$3.47B
Beta
0.82
Shares Out
17.95M
P/E (TTM)
8.4
P/S (TTM)
0.26
P/FCF (TTM)
7.42
Rev YoY
+0.3%
EPS YoY
-19.3%
Gross Margin
+16.6%
Op Margin
+5.1%
Net Debt
$6.06B
Current Ratio
0.91
As of 2026-10-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data