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AAPL

AppleC
Nasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 revenue reached $109.4 billion, up 16% year over year, with record June-quarter iPhone, Mac and Services revenue and an all-time-high installed base. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
8 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
CEO transition, China exposure, trade policy, litigation and regulatory developments remain execution and valuation risks.
Momentum
71
Value
53
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
8 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $328.01 · Bull $380.00 · Bear $270.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $333.73
Why
Momentum71 · Δ7d +2.7
Value53 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +9.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 8 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • CEO transition, China exposure, trade policy, litigation and regulatory developments remain execution and valuation risks.
  • • Further memory-cost inflation could compress product margins after carry-in inventory benefits fade.
  • • Stored third-party earnings coverage reported that a roughly 7.4% share-price decline followed weaker current-quarter revenue guidance and higher memory costs, despite the Q3 beat.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-13

Dividend payment and capital-return signal

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
71
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+2.7
Δ21d
+30.2
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.9
Δ21d
-0.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 70.8 / Value 52.6 / Sentiment 57.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$380.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$328.01
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$270.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.46T
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
14.59B
P/E (TTM)
36.0
P/S (TTM)
9.49
P/FCF (TTM)
47.38
Rev YoY
+16.4%
EPS YoY
+29.1%
Gross Margin
+48.7%
Op Margin
+33.2%
Net Debt
$57.68B
Current Ratio
1.00
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data