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AAL

American Airlines GroupA
Nasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
View Chart
Current thesis
AAL has a positive operating foundation from record Q1 revenue, improving unit revenue, and strong Atlantic performance. If the July 23 update confirms demand and premium/loyalty execution while absorbing fuel costs, the depressed $15.60 anchor could recover toward the packet's $20.04 median target.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-23 · BMO.
What can break
Fuel-price exposure could overwhelm revenue growth; Q1 disclosure indicated more than $4 billion of incremental fuel expense and approximately flat full-year earnings guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-04-23]
Momentum
87
Value
64
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.50 · Bull $21.00 · Bear $12.80
Earnings
2026-07-23 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $20.04
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d -6.6
Value64 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +7.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
87
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.6
Δ21d
-6.7
Value
64
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
63
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.6
Δ21d
+18.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 86.9 / Value 64.4 / Sentiment 62.9

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$9.91B
Beta
1.25
Shares Out
661.39M
P/E (TTM)
21.9
P/S (TTM)
0.19
P/FCF (TTM)
11.85
Rev YoY
+10.8%
EPS YoY
-19.5%
Gross Margin
+19.4%
Op Margin
+3.9%
Net Debt
$29.4B
Current Ratio
0.49
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology