PRDO

AI Memo

Perdoceo Education

As of 2026-02-20/Confidence medium/Horizon 3m

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Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

—

Confidence

medium

Horizon

Key catalyst

Next quarterly earnings release • 2026-05-21

Expected move: -0%

Biggest risk

Bear case assumes enrollment declines and/or negative regulatory findings that reduce Title IV access or accelerate discounting, pushing valuation toward analyst lows.

Invalidation

Break below $31 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Bull case assumes continued stabilization in enrollments, successful margin improvement initiatives, and no adverse regulatory actions; market re-rates to analyst high as growth visibility improves.

Research note

Recommendation

—

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-02-20

Base target

$33

p=60%

Bull target

$42

p=20%

Bear target

$31

p=20%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Next quarterly earnings release
Analyst coverage or price-target updates
Regulatory/Title IV review or funding outcome

BearKey bullets

Adverse regulatory findings affecting Title IV eligibility
Concentration of revenue in government-funded programs
Enrollment declines or weaker-than-expected program demand

WatchKey bullets

ANCHOR: {"price": 32.83, "timestamp_utc": "2026-02-20T16:17:30+00:00", "source": "broker_last"} ANALYST_TARGETS_REVIEWED: true Targets set relative to the injected anchor: base_target chosen to align with the analyst median (32.97) while bull and bear map to the analyst high (42.0) and low (31.17) respectively; methodology: scenario targets are anchor-relative with adjustments to match published analyst low/median/high from the reviewed snippets [#SERP-2][#SERP-3].

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $33 (p=60%)

Bull/Bear spread: +27% / -6%

Vs latest close: Bull +27% · Base -0% · Bear -6%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $42 (p=20%)Base Target: $33 (p=60%)Bear Target: $31 (p=20%)

Commentary

Market sentiment is mixed: public snippets show a small analyst sample with median near the current price and a high outlier at $42, producing limited upside consensus [#SERP-2][#SERP-3]. Retail headlines and aggregator pages list buy-side targets but coverage is thin, so updates from the two covering analysts can move sentiment [#SERP-1]. Overall tone: cautious-neutral with upside tied to operating improvement and regulatory clarity.

As of 2026-02-20 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Bull case assumes continued stabilization in enrollments, successful margin improvement initiatives, and no adverse regulatory actions; market re-rates to analyst high as growth visibility improves.

Bear Case

Bear case assumes enrollment declines and/or negative regulatory findings that reduce Title IV access or accelerate discounting, pushing valuation toward analyst lows.

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Next quarterly earnings release
Analyst coverage or price-target updates
Regulatory/Title IV review or funding outcome

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-02-20Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$32.97

Range (USD)

$31.17 - $42.00

Count

Query: Perdoceo Education Corp Common (PRDO) analyst consensus price target high low average

Perdoceo Education Corporation (PRDO) Stock Price, News, Quote ...
Search result #1
PERDOCEO EDUCATION CORP has an Investment Rating of BUY; a target price of $34.000000; an Industry Subrating of Low; a Management Subrating of High; a Safety ...
Extracted: $34.00Open source
Perdoceo Education (PRDO) Stock Forecast and Price Target 2026
Search result #2
According to the 2 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Perdoceo Education, the average price target is $42.00. The highest price target for PRDO is $42.00, ...
Extracted: $42.00Open source
Consensus Perdoceo Education Corporation - MarketScreener
Search result #3
Average target price. 42.00USD. Spread / Average Target. +32.12%. High Price Target. 42.00USD. Spread / Highest target. +32.12%. Low Price Target. 42.00USD.
Extracted: $42.00Open source
Perdoceo Education Stock Price Today NASDAQ PRDO
Search result #4
What Is Perdoceo Education (PRDO) Price Target According to Analysts? The average 12-month price target for Perdoceo Education is USD42.00, with a high ...
Extracted: $42.00Open source
Perdoceo Education (PRDO) Stock Forecast, Price Targets and ...
Search result #5
The average price target is $42.00 with a high forecast of $42.00 and a low forecast of $42.00. The average price target represents a 33.63% change from the ...
Extracted: $42.00Open source
Perdoceo Education (PRDO) Stock Forecast - Public Investing
Search result #6
Wall Street analysts have set a price target of $42, reflecting a 0.00% increase from the current stock price. What is the 2026 price prediction for Perdoceo ...
Extracted: $42.00Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$42 / p=20% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$33 / p=60% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$31 / p=20% prob

Price $33 as of 2026-08-05

Nearest Scenario: Base (∆ 0%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull +27% · Base -0% · Bear -6%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Next quarterly earnings release
2026-05-21
Market reaction to the upcoming quarterly results (enrollment, margins, guidance) could move the stock; timing estimated conservatively when no official date disclosed [#SERP-2].
Prob 95% • Move 8% • Priced-in 60%
Analyst coverage or price-target updates
2026-05-21
Two-analyst coverage could produce a target/priorities update that shifts sentiment; existing snippets show median/high concentration at $42 and $34 levels [#SERP-2][#SERP-1].
Prob 45% • Move 12% • Priced-in 50%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Regulatory/Title IV review or funding outcome
2027-02-20
Any adverse outcome from federal program reviews or funding changes would materially affect revenue and valuation; date conservatively set one year out due to uncertain timing.
Prob 30% • Move 25% • Priced-in 30%

Risks

Adverse regulatory findings affecting Title IV eligibility
Concentration of revenue in government-funded programs
Enrollment declines or weaker-than-expected program demand
Execution risk on cost-reduction and margin initiatives

Peers

Symbol	Summary
LOPE	Large private‑sector university competitor with similar enrollment sensitivity and dependence on online program performance.
APEI	Smaller publicly traded education provider; useful comparator for regulatory exposure and program mix dynamics.
ATGE	Global education operator with exposure to different program types; helps benchmark accreditation and compliance risks.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: Perdoceo Education Corp Common (PRDO) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-02-20

AI Stock Memo: PRDO - Perdoceo Education - RankAlpha