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PRDO

Perdoceo EducationA
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 diluted EPS rose to $0.75 from $0.62, while South could expand health-sciences offerings and, if management's forecast holds, add adjusted operating income from 2027. These are operating results and a forecast, respectively—not evidence that the acquisition is already accretive.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
What can break
Acquisition cash payments, earn-outs and planned clinical-program investment may reduce financial flexibility or dilute expected accretion. [#8-K-2026-09-14]
Momentum
84
Value
68
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $31.00 · Bull $39.00 · Bear $23.00Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $44.00
Why
Momentum84 · Δ7d +11.3
Value68 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -1.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition cash payments, earn-outs and planned clinical-program investment may reduce financial flexibility or dilute expected accretion. [#8-K-2026-09-14]
  • • Modest total enrollment growth and AIUS declines create execution risk for the reaffirmed 2026 outlook. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] [#8-K-2026-09-14]
  • • Enrollment growth was only 0.7% in Q2, with AIUS enrollment down 1.0%.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29

Reaffirmed 2026 outlook faces an enrollment test

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
84
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+11.3
Δ21d
+17.7
Value
68
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
48
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-14.4
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 83.5 / Value 67.8 / Sentiment 48.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$39.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.12B
Beta
0.89
Shares Out
62.58M
P/E (TTM)
13.3
P/S (TTM)
2.47
P/FCF (TTM)
12.62
Rev YoY
+1.8%
EPS YoY
+22.4%
Gross Margin
+72.6%
Op Margin
+24.6%
Net Debt
-$582.15M
Current Ratio
4.69
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data