AI Stock Memo: OI - O-I Glass - RankAlpha

OI

Rating buyAI Memo

O-I Glass

As of 2026-02-12/Confidence medium

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Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

buy

Confidence

medium

Horizon

—

Key catalyst

Next quarterly earnings (est.) • 2026-05-13

Expected move: +116%

Biggest risk

Softening beverage demand, higher input/energy costs, or pricing pressure compresses margins and pushes valuation toward the analyst low (~$13.0).

Invalidation

Break below $13 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Recovery in beverage volumes and better mix drive margin leverage and a multiple re-rate toward the analyst high (~$22.05) within 12 months.

Research note

Recommendation

buy

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-02-12

Base target

$18

p=60%

Bull target

$22

p=20%

Bear target

$13

p=20%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Next quarterly earnings (est.)
Analyst consensus updates
Cycle recovery & capital-allocation clarity

BearKey bullets

Adverse currency or trade disruptions
Customer concentration and contract-price lag
Input and energy cost volatility compressing margins

WatchKey bullets

ANCHOR: {"price": 16.39, "timestamp_utc": "2026-02-10T00:00:00Z", "source": "rankalpha_api_adj_close"} ANALYST_TARGETS_REVIEWED: true Method: scenario targets anchored to the injected market price and cross-checked against broker low/median/high.

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

buy

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $18 (p=60%)

Bull/Bear spread: +168% / +58%

Vs latest close: Bull +168% · Base +116% · Bear +58%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $22 (p=20%)Base Target: $18 (p=60%)Bear Target: $13 (p=20%)

Commentary

Consensus is mixed-to-neutral: median analyst target ~17.79 (modest upside vs. anchor) with highs near $21–22 and lows near $13. Short-term tone is cautious; upgrades or positive volume/pricing data would be the main triggers for upside.

As of 2026-02-12 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Recovery in beverage volumes and better mix drive margin leverage and a multiple re-rate toward the analyst high (~$22.05) within 12 months.

Bear Case

Softening beverage demand, higher input/energy costs, or pricing pressure compresses margins and pushes valuation toward the analyst low (~$13.0).

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Next quarterly earnings (est.)
Analyst consensus updates
Cycle recovery & capital-allocation clarity

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-02-12Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$17.79

Range (USD)

$13.00 - $22.05

Count

Query: O-I Glass Inc Common (OI) analyst consensus price target high low average

O-I Glass (OI) Stock Forecast & Price Target - Investing.com
Search result #1
According to projections from 9 analysts, the average 12-month price target for O-I Glass is 17.89, with a high estimate of 21 and a low estimate of 13.
Open source
O-I Glass, Inc.: Target Price Consensus and Analysts ...
Search result #2
Spread / Average Target. +17.07%. High Price Target. 21.00USD. Spread / Highest target. +37.43%. Low Price Target. 13.00USD. Spread / Lowest Target. -14.92% ...
Extracted: $21.00, $13.00Open source
O-I Glass (OI) Stock Price, News & Analysis - MarketBeat
Search result #3
Price Target and Rating. Average Price Target for O-I Glass: $17.88. High Price Target: $21.00. Low Price Target: $14.00. Potential Upside/Downside: +14.9%.
Extracted: $17.88, $21.00, $14.00Open source
O-I Glass, Inc. (OI) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance
Search result #4
O-I GLASS INC has an Investment Rating of HOLD; a target price of $16.000000; an Industry Subrating of Medium; a Management Subrating of Low; a Safety Subrating ...
Extracted: $16.00Open source
O-I Glass Inc. Analyst Estimates - MarketWatch
Search result #5
Stock Price Targets. High, $21.00. Median, $18.00. Low, $13.00. Average, $17.89. Current Price, $16.43. Yearly Numbers. Estimates. OI will report 2025 earnings ...
Extracted: $21.00, $18.00, $13.00, $17.89, $16.43Open source
O-I Glass, Inc. Stock Price: Quote, Forecast, Splits & News (OI)
Search result #6
O-I Glass shares edged lower in Wednesday trading, dipping 0.63% despite a bullish analyst action from RBC Capital Markets that raised its price target to $19 ...
Extracted: $19.00Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$22 / p=20% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$18 / p=60% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$13 / p=20% prob

Price $8 as of 2026-06-01

Nearest Scenario: Bear (∆ 58%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull +168% · Base +116% · Bear +58%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Next quarterly earnings (est.)
2026-05-13
Quarterly report will update revenue, margins and FY guidance; market reacts to glass volumes and pricing. Date set to as_of_date +90 days per assumption.
Prob 60% • Move 10% • Priced-in 40%
Analyst consensus updates
2026-05-13
Broker upgrades/downgrades and target resets around results or macro shifts could re-price the stock; consensus median currently near $17.79.
Prob 50% • Move 7% • Priced-in 30%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

Cycle recovery & capital-allocation clarity
2027-02-12
Sustained beverage demand recovery, better pricing/mix or clearer buyback/dividend policy could trigger a re-rating over 12+ months.
Prob 45% • Move 25% • Priced-in 20%

Risks

Adverse currency or trade disruptions
Customer concentration and contract-price lag
Input and energy cost volatility compressing margins
Slower-than-expected beverage demand recovery

Peers

No peer data

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: O-I Glass Inc Common (OI) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-02-12