AI Stock Memo: LYV - Live Nation Entertainment - RankAlpha

LYV

Rating buyAI Memo

Live Nation Entertainment

As of 2026-01-27/Confidence medium

Open ticker Back to Memos

Data freshness

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Decision Panel

Action, confidence, horizon, and decision blockers at a glance.

Action

buy

Confidence

medium

Horizon

—

Key catalyst

Ticketing / regulatory developments • 2026-04-27

Expected move: +2%

Biggest risk

Bear case: softer consumer spending, adverse ticketing regulation, or material tour cancellations compress margins and drive valuation toward the analyst low.

Invalidation

Break below $136 or thesis failure.

What would change my mind?

Bull case: a strong 2026 touring and festival calendar, higher ticketing margins, and limited regulatory disruption push the stock toward the analyst high.

Research note

Recommendation

buy

Confidence

medium

As of

2026-01-27

Base target

$173

p=60%

Bull target

$200

p=25%

Bear target

$136

p=15%

Key bullets

Fast scan of bull, bear, and watch items

BullKey bullets

Next quarterly earnings report
2026 live-event season & festival recovery
Bull case: a strong 2026 touring and festival calendar, higher ticketing margins, and limited regulatory disruption push the stock toward the analyst high.

BearKey bullets

Large-scale tour cancellations or rising artist guarantees that compress margins
Regulatory action or settlement materially limiting Ticketmaster revenue or fees
Rising interest rates or financing costs that compress valuation multiples

WatchKey bullets

Ticketing / regulatory developments

Summary

High-level snapshot

Recommendation

buy

Model confidence

medium

Timeframe

Asset

Equity

Trigger

Base case: $173 (p=60%)

Bull/Bear spread: +18% / -19%

Vs latest close: Bull +18% · Base +2% · Bear -19%

Scenario probabilities

Bull Target: $200 (p=25%)Base Target: $173 (p=60%)Bear Target: $136 (p=15%)

Commentary

Sell-side and market sentiment is constructive: consensus targets cluster above the anchor, implying expected upside if touring momentum holds. Near-term volatility will be driven by earnings and regulatory headlines; long-term value hinges on festival/touring recovery and ticketing monetization.

As of 2026-01-27 • Updated bi-weekly / post-earningsSource: Internal modelMethodology

Analyst Summary

Thesis highlights from the latest analysis

Bull Case

Bull case: a strong 2026 touring and festival calendar, higher ticketing margins, and limited regulatory disruption push the stock toward the analyst high.

Bear Case

Bear case: softer consumer spending, adverse ticketing regulation, or material tour cancellations compress margins and drive valuation toward the analyst low.

Drivers

Scannable catalysts and supporting factors

Next quarterly earnings report
2026 live-event season & festival recovery

Human Analyst Targets

External snippets for comparison only; verify at source.

Unverified externalLast fetched 2026-01-27Source quality: external scrape

External snippets are unverified; treat as directional signals only. Always confirm with the original provider.

Inline RA est

Provider

serper

Median (USD)

$172.55

Range (USD)

$136.35 - $199.50

Count

Query: Live Nation Entertainment Inc Common (LYV) analyst consensus price target high low average

Live Nation Entertainment stock forecast - LYV - TipRanks
Search result #1
The average price target is $174.50 with a high forecast of $190.00 and a low forecast of $155.00. The average price target represents a 18.73% change from the ...
Extracted: $174.50, $190.00, $155.00Open source
LYV Stock Forecast - Live Nation Entertainment Inc - Alpha Spread
Search result #2
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LYV is 174.116 USD with a low forecast of 136.35 USD and a high forecast of 199.5 USD.
Extracted: $174.12, $136.35, $199.50Open source
Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) Stock Forecast and Price Target 2026
Search result #3
According to the 23 analysts' twelve-month price targets for Live Nation Entertainment, the average price target is $172.55. The highest price target for ...
Extracted: $172.55Open source
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (LYV) Stock Forecast, Price Target ...
Search result #4
Ratings. Buy. Rating: Buy4.36. Average analyst rating. 1. Strong Sell. 2. Sell. 3 ... LYV Forecast/Price Target. Average Price Target169.48. +15.32% Upside. Chart.
Open source
Live Nation (LYV) Price Targets - Zacks Investment Research
Search result #5
The forecasts range from a low of $155.00 to a high of $190.00. The average price target represents an increase of 17.81% from the last closing price of $146. ...
Extracted: $155.00, $190.00, $146.00Open source
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. LYV Stock Forecast & Price Target
Search result #6
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (LYV) stock forecast and price target ; LYV: Lowering target price to $155.00. bullish. Rating: Maintained.
Extracted: $155.00Open source

Scenarios

Bull Target (Scenario probability)

$200 / p=25% prob

Base Target (Scenario probability)

$173 / p=60% prob

Bear Target (Scenario probability)

$136 / p=15% prob

Price $168 as of 2026-05-29

Nearest Scenario: Base (∆ 2%)

Targets vs latest close: Bull +18% · Base +2% · Bear -19%

Sentiment & Exposure

Sentiment unavailable: insufficient coverage

Events

Other notable items detected

EVENT2026-04-27
Ticketing / regulatory developments
Regulatory actions or litigation outcomes related to ticketing practices (Ticketmaster) could reduce revenue or increase costs; timing uncertain so using a conservative near-term estimate [#SERP-2].
Prob 35.00% • Move -15.00% • Priced-in 20.00%

Short-term Catalysts

Next few weeks

Next quarterly earnings report
2026-04-27
Upcoming quarterly results and guidance that could materially change growth and margin expectations; analyst target dispersion suggests upside if guidance is strong [#SERP-1].
Prob 70% • Move 12% • Priced-in 30%

Long-term Catalysts

Months to a year

2026 live-event season & festival recovery
2027-01-27
Full-year touring and festival schedules can drive durable revenue expansion and operating leverage versus prior years; consensus targets reflect expected strength into 2026–2027 [#SERP-3].
Prob 60% • Move 30% • Priced-in 40%

Risks

Large-scale tour cancellations or rising artist guarantees that compress margins
Regulatory action or settlement materially limiting Ticketmaster revenue or fees
Rising interest rates or financing costs that compress valuation multiples
Weaker discretionary consumer spending reducing ticket demand

Peers

Symbol	Summary
MSGE	Madison Square Garden Entertainment — direct venue/promoter exposure; demand and pricing sensitivity broadly comparable to Live Nation.
EB	Eventbrite — ticketing marketplace peer with greater DIY/digital event exposure; less direct benefit from large-scale touring but sensitive to ticketing demand shifts.
SPOT	Spotify — streaming leader, not a promoter, but music-consumption and discovery trends can correlate with live-event demand over time.

Sources

Internal and external references used in this analysis

Model source: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Human targets: serper
Targets query: Live Nation Entertainment Inc Common (LYV) analyst consensus price target high low average
Analysis date: 2026-01-27